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Generating retirement income would be laughably easy—if we had one piece of information: how long we’ll live.

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First Job, Lasting Impact

"In ‘80 I graduated with 10K in loans, of course my first job only paid 13.5 K"
- David Lancaster
Read more »

There is no such thing as a tax loophole, but here they are anyway

"“It was easy to calculate to keep MAGI at the number you want.” That was the key, knowing what was the maximum MAGI to avoid paying premiums. In our case we used inherited Roths above the MAGI, the MAGI funds came from our IRAs."
- David Lancaster
Read more »

Quinns visit to Mar-a-Lago

"You buried the lead on this one, you visit Mar-a-lago and wind up telling us about a conversation with a deckhand? Though it makes me realize there is little politician in you, as when pressed about specifics you mention you were “a guest of some company. I can’t recall which one though.” "
- Michael Flack
Read more »

Take a Look In the Mirror

"I would say there is a slight difference, some potential misfortune can be planned for and avoided."
- R Quinn
Read more »

Resilient Investing

BACK IN 2010, at the Berkshire Hathaway annual meeting, a shareholder challenged Warren Buffett. Noting that shares of motorcycle maker Harley-Davidson had nearly tripled over the prior year, he asked Buffett why he had chosen to buy the company’s bonds rather than its stock. Buffett’s reply was a two-minute masterclass in how to think about investments. It’s worth walking through it point by point. To start, Buffett acknowledged that hindsight can be cruel. “I might have asked the same question,” he said. But then he reminded the investor that we should never judge an investment decision solely based on its result. Instead, he emphasized the importance of a sound decision-making process. He then detailed how he thought about the Harley decision at the time. Buffett started at a high level, with a discussion of asset allocation, and here he made a counterintuitive argument. Many of Berkshire Hathaway’s liabilities extended out more than 50 years, he said, and with such a long time horizon, it might seem like the company could afford to take an almost unlimited amount of risk in the stock market. Buffett acknowledged that was indeed the case. But, he said, “we would never have all our money in stocks,” even if, on paper, it seemed like the best choice. Buffett and his partner, Charlie Munger, still chose to hold substantial amounts in bonds, even if that meant giving up potential gains. Why? Buffett went on to explain why holding bonds made sense even in the absence of any clear need. For starters, bonds provide flexibility during stock market downturns. And since bear markets always arrive without notice, and can last multiple years, it makes sense to hold bonds, more or less, at all times. Perhaps not surprisingly, Buffett once mentioned that a trust he’d established for his family was similarly structured, with 10% in bonds, even though it had a long time horizon and could theoretically afford to be entirely in stocks. Coming back to the Harley-Davidson decision, Buffett referenced his mentor, Benjamin Graham. In his book Security Analysis, he had explained the relative benefits of “junior” and “senior” securities. “Junior securities,” Buffett said, “usually do better, but you’re going to sleep better with the senior securities.” What did he mean by junior and senior? In a typical corporate structure, where a company has issued both bonds and stocks, bondholders would have first claim on the company’s assets if it went into distress. Stockholders, on the other hand, would be further back in line. For that reason, bonds are said to be senior, while stocks are junior. It’s an important distinction. Because of this structure, bonds are inherently more secure than stocks. They are essentially IOUs. But also because of that structure, bonds will normally have lower returns than stocks. Companies know they don’t have to offer as much in the way of interest to bondholders because of their more senior position. This is the technical reason why, all things being equal, bonds offer both lower risk and lower returns than stocks. Buffett acknowledged that Harley-Davidson was a beloved company. “I kind of like a company where your customers tattoo your name on their chest.” Still, Buffett said, there were no guarantees. Even great companies can run into trouble. It was for this reason, Buffett said, that buying Harley-Davidson’s bonds was a relatively easy decision. “I knew enough to lend them money. I didn’t know enough to buy [the stock].” That’s because buying the stock would have required a much more detailed analysis of the motorcycle market, including an understanding of consumer trends and the effects of competition on Harley’s profit margins. Buying the company’s bonds, on the other hand, “was a very simple decision. It was just a question of, are they going to go broke or not?”  When we choose to buy bonds, in other words, we’re intentionally choosing the slow lane, but it’s for a reason: because bonds offer a level of certainty that stocks can never provide. And because of that certainty, we shouldn’t feel badly when bonds deliver meager returns. It’s by design. Buffett wrapped up the discussion acknowledging that if he’d opted for Harley’s stock, he would have made far more money for Berkshire shareholders. But that wasn’t the right yardstick, he argued. “We are running this place so that it can stand anything.” That, I think, is the most important thing we can take away from this story. The investment industry spends a lot of time talking about performance—and specifically, about outperformance. Of course, we all want to see our investments grow, but what’s most important, in my view, is that your portfolio be resilient enough to “stand anything.” One of the benefits of stock market downturns is that they give us an opportunity to stress test our emotional response to the market. After a roughly 10% downturn earlier this year, stocks are back at all-time highs, so this is a good time to take the temperature of your portfolio. If you lost some sleep during the downturn this spring, or the one we experienced last spring, this might be a good time to shift some of your portfolio to more senior, more secure, securities. If, on the other hand, you barely even noticed these downturns, that’s important information as well. Investing, in other words, isn’t just about numbers. Adam M. Grossman is the founder of Mayport, a fixed-fee wealth management firm. Sign up for Adam's Daily Ideas email, follow him on X @AdamMGrossman and check out his earlier articles.
Read more »

Help for divorcing daughter

"Are you sure this is still true after passage of the Social Security Fairness Act? "SBP is mainly to get through the working years as the benefit lessens the less time that you can collect (based on SS benefits).""
- ostrichtacossaturn7593
Read more »

Best method for buying home for permanently disabled daughter (SSI and ABLE account)

"Great question Nick. That was my first thought, too. I thought it would be a good and more affordable first step for her to get comfortable living on her own. However, she has a service dog, Maggie, so having a fenced-in yard for Maggie to play and do her "business" vs. Alyssa walking her on a leash at an apartment complex early in the morning before she heads to work was something we (especially my retired FDNY husband) felt was paramount for her safety. We also thought given market conditions investing in a property now would allow us to create longer term value for her as a homeowner vs renting."
- Dianne Baumert-Moyik
Read more »

Should Retirees Get a Temporary Flat Tax Window on IRA and 401(k) Withdrawals?

"The comments here are encouraging when you compare what is posted on social media which is essentially - why should we pay taxes, but give us more, including free healthcare. "
- R Quinn
Read more »

Country Club Venture Capital 

"Totally agree. This is a "fun" investment, a flyer with no real expectation of return, like buying a share in a racehorse. You get the thrill of participation and the hope of contributing to a great success down the road, and if you're lucky you get to see "your" golfer play on TV some Sunday. It's got to be like watching "your" horse run in the Preakness. But I strongly doubt anybody makes such an investment expecting anything more than that."
- Mike Gaynes
Read more »

The Rent is Too Damn High!

"David Lancaster, a very good example of the idea that "as often when it comes to home repair doing nothing is preferable to getting screwed." An additional thought: buy a couple of ice trays?"
- Michael Flack
Read more »

Starting Up – Part 2

"Thank you so much Margaret. My back is so much better. I have a lot of wires, screws and spacers holding me together from L4 to S1 but I can now walk. Unfortunately no more landscaping."
- Andrew Clements
Read more »

Retirement Accounts

I WAS SCROLLING through social media recently and saw somebody dismiss retirement accounts as “paper wealth.” The argument was familiar: Your money is locked away and you’re waiting for permission to access it.

Post Example

There’s a grain of truth here. Retirement accounts do come with rules. But much of the discussion online ignores how flexible these accounts actually are. More important, it ignores the enormous tax advantages.

Most people today will likely live well beyond age 59½. Many will spend two or three decades in retirement. Even if somebody retires early, they’ll still need assets later in life.

That’s why ignoring retirement accounts at age 30 often isn’t wise. You could end up giving away 30 or 40 years of tax-advantaged compounding.

It also isn’t an all-or-nothing decision. We can use taxable brokerage accounts, Roth IRAs and 401(k)s together. Each account serves a different purpose.

Retirement accounts also provide rebalancing flexibility that taxable accounts don’t.

Inside a Traditional or Roth IRA, investors can rebalance portfolios without triggering capital gains taxes. Somebody who wants less stock market exposure can freely sell shares and buy bonds, Treasurys or other funds without generating an immediate tax bill. That matters over long periods of time.

The other misconception is that retirement accounts are completely inaccessible until age 59½. 

Let's talk about Rule 72(t), also called Substantially Equal Periodic Payments, or SEPP. This IRS rule allows penalty-free withdrawals before age 59½ if specific requirements are followed.

Using online 72(t) calculators, a $500,000 retirement account could potentially generate annual withdrawals of roughly $30,000 while avoiding the normal 10% early-withdrawal penalty:

72(t) calculator

The payments must continue for a required period and the IRS rules are strict. Still, the broader point remains: There are legal ways to access retirement funds earlier than many people realize.

The Rule of 55 is another example.

If you leave your employer during or after the year you turn 55, you can often withdraw money from that employer’s 401(k) without the normal 10% penalty. Again, the money is not completely locked away until 60.

Roth IRAs may also be flexible. Contributions can be withdrawn anytime tax- and penalty-free because taxes were already paid before the money went into the account.

That doesn’t mean people should tap retirement accounts early. But accessibility is very different from impossibility.

Roth IRAs also happen to be among the most powerful wealth building tools available.

Qualified withdrawals are tax-free. Dividends compound without yearly tax bills. Investors can buy and sell investments inside the account without triggering taxable events.

You may remember a famous example about Peter Thiel. According to reporting by ProPublica, Thiel reportedly grew a Roth IRA from $2,000 to more than $5 billion between 1999 and now. He turns 59½ in 2027, meaning those withdrawals could potentially be tax-free. Imagine if he had decided to skip retirement accounts because he wanted to “live now.”

Employer matches are another point often ignored online. Skipping a 401(k) match can be one of the costliest financial mistakes people make.

Suppose an employer offers a dollar-for-dollar match on the first 3% of salary contributed to a 401(k). Before the investments even grow, that’s effectively an immediate 100% return.

Very few opportunities offer that kind of risk-adjusted benefit.

In fact, somebody could theoretically contribute, collect the employer match, later withdraw the money, pay ordinary income taxes plus the 10% penalty, and still potentially come out ahead versus investing only through a taxable brokerage account with no match.

The tax advantages extend beyond employer matches.

Inside retirement accounts:

  • Dividends can compound without annual tax drag
  • Investors can rebalance without triggering taxable events
  • Capital gains taxes are deferred or eliminated, depending on the account type

Compare that with a taxable brokerage account, where dividends may create yearly tax bills and selling appreciated shares can trigger capital gains taxes.

Retirement accounts can also create opportunities for tax arbitrage.

Somebody contributing while in the 22% or 24% marginal federal tax bracket today might eventually withdraw money while in the 10% or 12% bracket during retirement.

State taxes can widen the advantage even more. Some states provide tax deductions on retirement contributions while later taxing retirement withdrawals lightly or not at all.

Early retirees often use Roth conversion ladders as well.

The process generally works like this:

  • Move money from a Traditional IRA or 401(k) into a Roth IRA
  • Pay taxes on the converted amount
  • Wait five years
  • Withdraw the converted funds penalty-free

Like Rule 72(t), there are strict rules involved. But these strategies exist because retirement accounts were never designed to be prison cells.

The larger point is that retirement planning should involve multiple tools working together. Taxable brokerage accounts provide flexibility. Roth IRAs provide tax-free growth. Traditional retirement accounts can reduce taxes during high-earning years.

None of these accounts are perfect by themselves. Together, however, they can create an extremely efficient system for building long-term wealth.

That’s why describing retirement accounts as “paper wealth” misses the bigger picture.

 

Bogdan Sheremeta is a licensed CPA based in Illinois with experience at Deloitte and a Fortune 200 multinational.  
Read more »

First Job, Lasting Impact

"In ‘80 I graduated with 10K in loans, of course my first job only paid 13.5 K"
- David Lancaster
Read more »

There is no such thing as a tax loophole, but here they are anyway

"“It was easy to calculate to keep MAGI at the number you want.” That was the key, knowing what was the maximum MAGI to avoid paying premiums. In our case we used inherited Roths above the MAGI, the MAGI funds came from our IRAs."
- David Lancaster
Read more »

Quinns visit to Mar-a-Lago

"You buried the lead on this one, you visit Mar-a-lago and wind up telling us about a conversation with a deckhand? Though it makes me realize there is little politician in you, as when pressed about specifics you mention you were “a guest of some company. I can’t recall which one though.” "
- Michael Flack
Read more »

Take a Look In the Mirror

"I would say there is a slight difference, some potential misfortune can be planned for and avoided."
- R Quinn
Read more »

Resilient Investing

BACK IN 2010, at the Berkshire Hathaway annual meeting, a shareholder challenged Warren Buffett. Noting that shares of motorcycle maker Harley-Davidson had nearly tripled over the prior year, he asked Buffett why he had chosen to buy the company’s bonds rather than its stock. Buffett’s reply was a two-minute masterclass in how to think about investments. It’s worth walking through it point by point. To start, Buffett acknowledged that hindsight can be cruel. “I might have asked the same question,” he said. But then he reminded the investor that we should never judge an investment decision solely based on its result. Instead, he emphasized the importance of a sound decision-making process. He then detailed how he thought about the Harley decision at the time. Buffett started at a high level, with a discussion of asset allocation, and here he made a counterintuitive argument. Many of Berkshire Hathaway’s liabilities extended out more than 50 years, he said, and with such a long time horizon, it might seem like the company could afford to take an almost unlimited amount of risk in the stock market. Buffett acknowledged that was indeed the case. But, he said, “we would never have all our money in stocks,” even if, on paper, it seemed like the best choice. Buffett and his partner, Charlie Munger, still chose to hold substantial amounts in bonds, even if that meant giving up potential gains. Why? Buffett went on to explain why holding bonds made sense even in the absence of any clear need. For starters, bonds provide flexibility during stock market downturns. And since bear markets always arrive without notice, and can last multiple years, it makes sense to hold bonds, more or less, at all times. Perhaps not surprisingly, Buffett once mentioned that a trust he’d established for his family was similarly structured, with 10% in bonds, even though it had a long time horizon and could theoretically afford to be entirely in stocks. Coming back to the Harley-Davidson decision, Buffett referenced his mentor, Benjamin Graham. In his book Security Analysis, he had explained the relative benefits of “junior” and “senior” securities. “Junior securities,” Buffett said, “usually do better, but you’re going to sleep better with the senior securities.” What did he mean by junior and senior? In a typical corporate structure, where a company has issued both bonds and stocks, bondholders would have first claim on the company’s assets if it went into distress. Stockholders, on the other hand, would be further back in line. For that reason, bonds are said to be senior, while stocks are junior. It’s an important distinction. Because of this structure, bonds are inherently more secure than stocks. They are essentially IOUs. But also because of that structure, bonds will normally have lower returns than stocks. Companies know they don’t have to offer as much in the way of interest to bondholders because of their more senior position. This is the technical reason why, all things being equal, bonds offer both lower risk and lower returns than stocks. Buffett acknowledged that Harley-Davidson was a beloved company. “I kind of like a company where your customers tattoo your name on their chest.” Still, Buffett said, there were no guarantees. Even great companies can run into trouble. It was for this reason, Buffett said, that buying Harley-Davidson’s bonds was a relatively easy decision. “I knew enough to lend them money. I didn’t know enough to buy [the stock].” That’s because buying the stock would have required a much more detailed analysis of the motorcycle market, including an understanding of consumer trends and the effects of competition on Harley’s profit margins. Buying the company’s bonds, on the other hand, “was a very simple decision. It was just a question of, are they going to go broke or not?”  When we choose to buy bonds, in other words, we’re intentionally choosing the slow lane, but it’s for a reason: because bonds offer a level of certainty that stocks can never provide. And because of that certainty, we shouldn’t feel badly when bonds deliver meager returns. It’s by design. Buffett wrapped up the discussion acknowledging that if he’d opted for Harley’s stock, he would have made far more money for Berkshire shareholders. But that wasn’t the right yardstick, he argued. “We are running this place so that it can stand anything.” That, I think, is the most important thing we can take away from this story. The investment industry spends a lot of time talking about performance—and specifically, about outperformance. Of course, we all want to see our investments grow, but what’s most important, in my view, is that your portfolio be resilient enough to “stand anything.” One of the benefits of stock market downturns is that they give us an opportunity to stress test our emotional response to the market. After a roughly 10% downturn earlier this year, stocks are back at all-time highs, so this is a good time to take the temperature of your portfolio. If you lost some sleep during the downturn this spring, or the one we experienced last spring, this might be a good time to shift some of your portfolio to more senior, more secure, securities. If, on the other hand, you barely even noticed these downturns, that’s important information as well. Investing, in other words, isn’t just about numbers. Adam M. Grossman is the founder of Mayport, a fixed-fee wealth management firm. Sign up for Adam's Daily Ideas email, follow him on X @AdamMGrossman and check out his earlier articles.
Read more »

Help for divorcing daughter

"Are you sure this is still true after passage of the Social Security Fairness Act? "SBP is mainly to get through the working years as the benefit lessens the less time that you can collect (based on SS benefits).""
- ostrichtacossaturn7593
Read more »

Best method for buying home for permanently disabled daughter (SSI and ABLE account)

"Great question Nick. That was my first thought, too. I thought it would be a good and more affordable first step for her to get comfortable living on her own. However, she has a service dog, Maggie, so having a fenced-in yard for Maggie to play and do her "business" vs. Alyssa walking her on a leash at an apartment complex early in the morning before she heads to work was something we (especially my retired FDNY husband) felt was paramount for her safety. We also thought given market conditions investing in a property now would allow us to create longer term value for her as a homeowner vs renting."
- Dianne Baumert-Moyik
Read more »

Should Retirees Get a Temporary Flat Tax Window on IRA and 401(k) Withdrawals?

"The comments here are encouraging when you compare what is posted on social media which is essentially - why should we pay taxes, but give us more, including free healthcare. "
- R Quinn
Read more »

Retirement Accounts

I WAS SCROLLING through social media recently and saw somebody dismiss retirement accounts as “paper wealth.” The argument was familiar: Your money is locked away and you’re waiting for permission to access it.

Post Example

There’s a grain of truth here. Retirement accounts do come with rules. But much of the discussion online ignores how flexible these accounts actually are. More important, it ignores the enormous tax advantages.

Most people today will likely live well beyond age 59½. Many will spend two or three decades in retirement. Even if somebody retires early, they’ll still need assets later in life.

That’s why ignoring retirement accounts at age 30 often isn’t wise. You could end up giving away 30 or 40 years of tax-advantaged compounding.

It also isn’t an all-or-nothing decision. We can use taxable brokerage accounts, Roth IRAs and 401(k)s together. Each account serves a different purpose.

Retirement accounts also provide rebalancing flexibility that taxable accounts don’t.

Inside a Traditional or Roth IRA, investors can rebalance portfolios without triggering capital gains taxes. Somebody who wants less stock market exposure can freely sell shares and buy bonds, Treasurys or other funds without generating an immediate tax bill. That matters over long periods of time.

The other misconception is that retirement accounts are completely inaccessible until age 59½. 

Let's talk about Rule 72(t), also called Substantially Equal Periodic Payments, or SEPP. This IRS rule allows penalty-free withdrawals before age 59½ if specific requirements are followed.

Using online 72(t) calculators, a $500,000 retirement account could potentially generate annual withdrawals of roughly $30,000 while avoiding the normal 10% early-withdrawal penalty:

72(t) calculator

The payments must continue for a required period and the IRS rules are strict. Still, the broader point remains: There are legal ways to access retirement funds earlier than many people realize.

The Rule of 55 is another example.

If you leave your employer during or after the year you turn 55, you can often withdraw money from that employer’s 401(k) without the normal 10% penalty. Again, the money is not completely locked away until 60.

Roth IRAs may also be flexible. Contributions can be withdrawn anytime tax- and penalty-free because taxes were already paid before the money went into the account.

That doesn’t mean people should tap retirement accounts early. But accessibility is very different from impossibility.

Roth IRAs also happen to be among the most powerful wealth building tools available.

Qualified withdrawals are tax-free. Dividends compound without yearly tax bills. Investors can buy and sell investments inside the account without triggering taxable events.

You may remember a famous example about Peter Thiel. According to reporting by ProPublica, Thiel reportedly grew a Roth IRA from $2,000 to more than $5 billion between 1999 and now. He turns 59½ in 2027, meaning those withdrawals could potentially be tax-free. Imagine if he had decided to skip retirement accounts because he wanted to “live now.”

Employer matches are another point often ignored online. Skipping a 401(k) match can be one of the costliest financial mistakes people make.

Suppose an employer offers a dollar-for-dollar match on the first 3% of salary contributed to a 401(k). Before the investments even grow, that’s effectively an immediate 100% return.

Very few opportunities offer that kind of risk-adjusted benefit.

In fact, somebody could theoretically contribute, collect the employer match, later withdraw the money, pay ordinary income taxes plus the 10% penalty, and still potentially come out ahead versus investing only through a taxable brokerage account with no match.

The tax advantages extend beyond employer matches.

Inside retirement accounts:

  • Dividends can compound without annual tax drag
  • Investors can rebalance without triggering taxable events
  • Capital gains taxes are deferred or eliminated, depending on the account type

Compare that with a taxable brokerage account, where dividends may create yearly tax bills and selling appreciated shares can trigger capital gains taxes.

Retirement accounts can also create opportunities for tax arbitrage.

Somebody contributing while in the 22% or 24% marginal federal tax bracket today might eventually withdraw money while in the 10% or 12% bracket during retirement.

State taxes can widen the advantage even more. Some states provide tax deductions on retirement contributions while later taxing retirement withdrawals lightly or not at all.

Early retirees often use Roth conversion ladders as well.

The process generally works like this:

  • Move money from a Traditional IRA or 401(k) into a Roth IRA
  • Pay taxes on the converted amount
  • Wait five years
  • Withdraw the converted funds penalty-free

Like Rule 72(t), there are strict rules involved. But these strategies exist because retirement accounts were never designed to be prison cells.

The larger point is that retirement planning should involve multiple tools working together. Taxable brokerage accounts provide flexibility. Roth IRAs provide tax-free growth. Traditional retirement accounts can reduce taxes during high-earning years.

None of these accounts are perfect by themselves. Together, however, they can create an extremely efficient system for building long-term wealth.

That’s why describing retirement accounts as “paper wealth” misses the bigger picture.

 

Bogdan Sheremeta is a licensed CPA based in Illinois with experience at Deloitte and a Fortune 200 multinational.  
Read more »

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Get Educated

Manifesto

NO. 57: WE FAVOR possessions for their lasting value, but often we get greater happiness when we spend money on experiences. Forget the new car. Instead, take the family to Paris.

think

MARKET EFFICIENCY. As news breaks that effect the economy and individual companies, investors immediately buy and sell stocks in response, so share prices reflect all publicly available information. Because the market is so efficient, it’s all but impossible for investors to beat the market averages over the long haul, especially after figuring in their own investment costs.

act

SHARE YOUR PAYSTUB and financial statements with your kids. This show and tell will give you a chance to discuss the importance of saving, the power of compounding, and how much of your income goes toward taxes, housing and other items. Any one conversation might be brief and appear to have little impact. But over time, your children will learn a lot.

humans

NO. 66: WE HUNGER for a sense of control, and a great place to start is our financial life. By taking charge of our finances early on, we can avoid a lifetime of money stress. Meanwhile, we’re often miserable when we’re dependent on others—something likely to occur as we age. As our physical and mental faculties fail us, we may feel we’re losing control of our life.

Basics

Manifesto

NO. 57: WE FAVOR possessions for their lasting value, but often we get greater happiness when we spend money on experiences. Forget the new car. Instead, take the family to Paris.

Spotlight: Abuse

Lost Property

OUR COMMUNITY HAS a Facebook-like online forum called Nextdoor. I tend to ignore the posts, which usually involve things like items for sale and new restaurant openings. But a recent post caught my eye—because it was from the Montgomery County Recorder of Deeds.
The article said Pennsylvania’s Attorney General had initiated a lawsuit against a realty company for deceptive practices targeting elderly, low-income and minority homeowners. The realty company was offering a “Homeowner Benefit Program” that gives homeowners anywhere from $400 to $1,000 upfront to lock into a contract.

Read more »

Be Careful Out There

FINANCIAL FRAUD against Americans age 60 and older costs $3 billion a year, and the average loss per incident is $120,000, according to a 2020 study by the AARP Public Policy Institute. And scams against older Americans are increasing. The FBI reports that losses more than doubled from 2019 to 2021 and internet swindles against elderly victims rose 84% in 2022.
My wife was the target of a fraud and you may have been,

Read more »

A Dirty Business

ON MONDAY, MAY 2, I logged onto my Chase bank account—and discovered my balance was $992.43, many thousands of dollars less than I expected. My first thought: I’m going to get hit with a low-balance fee.
That, alas, should have been the least of my worries.
I clicked through to see the account details, and discovered that check No. 1126 had been made out to Milton Cherry for $7,000. But none of the writing on the check was mine,

Read more »

Numbers Game

IT HAPPENED AGAIN. For the third time in two years, our credit card number was stolen. I learned this yesterday when I received the now-too-frequent question from Chase: “Do you recognize this gas station purchase for $1?” We live nowhere near the station in question, so I knew something was amiss.
I appreciate Chase’s diligence in identifying such transactions, and the fact that we won’t be held liable for any fraudulent charges. Still, I’ve grown weary of the whole process of cancelling credit cards,

Read more »

It’s 2025. Do you send checks by mail?

I saw this article in the Washington Post and thought that I haven’t sent a check by mail in years.  Am I the minority in this?
I pay all my bills electronically and once in a blue moon, I pay a few bills by the Wells Fargo app.
Also, if you pay by mail, what do do to protect yourself from what is described in the article?

Read more »

Headache for Rent

FOR THE PAST SIX years, we’ve rented a house in Florida for a month or so. We used VRBO, and all went well. Even minor problems with a house were quickly addressed by the owners or their rental agents.

Not this year.

In September 2023, we rented a condo on the beach in Hillsboro Beach for February 2024. In December, I received an e-mail from the rental agent, Houzlet, Inc., saying the owner had financial problems and was selling the place,

Read more »

Spotlight: Ehart

Winter of Discontent

WELCOME TO OUR inaugural monthly personal-finance update. I was all ready to write about January’s robust stock market—and then the GameStop saga garnered national headlines, with short-selling hedge funds losing billions, everyday investors crowing and politicians piping up. Some bashed Wall Street for allegedly thwarting retail traders, while others worried about the financial system’s stability. Amid the tumult, the S&P 500 fell into the red for the year-to-date, despite blockbuster earnings reports from two of the market’s longtime leaders, Microsoft and Apple. Renewed concerns about the economic impact of COVID-19 also weighed on the market. Still, small-company stocks’ gains weren’t entirely erased—further proof for the so-called January Effect, the tendency for small stocks to outperform during the year’s first month. Vanguard Small-Cap ETF (symbol: VB) held on for a 2% gain, despite losing nearly 5% in the month’s final week. But the S&P 500 closed the month down 1%. Does that put the kibosh on 2021? The January Barometer, sometimes confused with the January Effect, posits that as goes January, so goes the year. But such Wall Street lore is more proverbial than tradeable. Should auld acquaintance be forgot? Large-cap U.S. growth stocks, seemingly so unbeatable for so long, reached peak outperformance in early September. As a group, the stocks continued to lag behind small caps in January, with Vanguard Growth ETF (VUG) down 1%. Tesla (TSLA), up 12% last month, was the biggest exception, though Microsoft and Google’s parent Alphabet gained 4% and nearly 5%, respectively. Vanguard Small-Cap Growth ETF (VBK) and Vanguard Small-Cap Value ETF (VBR) both gained some 2%, as their investment styles sparkled, as they have for the past three months, with advances of 26% and 28%, respectively. Truth be told, the Vanguard Extended Market ETF (VFX), which tracks small- and mid-cap stocks, bested both of…
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April Fool

HERE IS WHY I DON'T trade, and don’t make big market bets, and why you shouldn’t, either. Headlines last Monday at 6 a.m.: Nation Braces for Brutal Week, At Least a Fourth of U.S. Economy Goes Idle, British Prime Minister Boris Johnson Hospitalized. Headline at 9:30 a.m.: Dow Surges as Tech Stocks Rally I got spooked last weekend. It was epic. I was actually scared after days of hearing about the bungled federal response to the pandemic and about states fighting over medical supplies. I wasn’t about to sell stocks—I knew that would be a dangerous emotional reaction—but I felt compelled to warn family and readers that things would be even worse than most people expected. In initial drafts of this column, penned early on Monday morning, I wrote that I was preparing mentally for the worst bear market of my lifetime. Three hours later, the market bolted to its sixth-best percentage gain in 87 years. In the spirit of Stephanie Grisham announcing that she was stepping down as White House press secretary after never holding a single briefing, I can confirm here that I am no longer Wall Street’s most influential market strategist. It’s so seductive and ego gratifying to believe we know something others don’t. I was bent sideways all day Monday, desperate to avoid admitting what I’ve actually known for a long time: I’m a reliable contrarian indicator. My thought process was thoroughly corrupted as I went through the stages of grief—on a day when I was making thousands of dollars, thanks to my portfolio’s 76% allocation to stocks. Of course, one day’s or week’s market action doesn’t sound the all-clear. What if I really, really believe things are going to be much worse than the market expects? Frankly, my investment stance shouldn’t change much. Our individual market…
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Bad News Bonds

EXPERTS HAVE LATELY been recommending that investors shift some money from short-term bonds—which offer the highest yield these days—to longer-term issues, whose prices are more sensitive to interest rates. Had I followed this advice—and I almost did—I’d have quickly lost money in what’s supposed to be the safe part of my portfolio. Bonds did indeed rally from their October 2022 lows, but have pulled back since early May. Vanguard Intermediate-Term Treasury ETF (symbol: VGIT) was down 4.2% from its May 4 peak through last Friday, while iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) was off 8.8% during that stretch. The “smart money” said prepare to profit if interest rates fall, perhaps because the economy slips into a recession. But that’s a big “if.” The flipside: You lose if rates rise. That’s why I’ve generally preferred short-term Treasurys in my portfolio. That limits my exposure to interest-rate fluctuations and provides a hedge against the risk of falling stock prices. Short-term Treasury prices won’t decline much if rates keep rising, though they also won’t gain much if rates fall from here. An added bonus: Today, we’re enjoying generous yields on short-term bonds and cash investments, including some guaranteed by the federal government. Indeed, those high rates have lately drawn me to money market funds and certificates of deposit (CDs). The bond market got a bad case of the willies in August, burning those who hold interest-sensitive assets. Now, Wall Street is gripped by the fear of rising rates. Budget deficits and the national debt really do matter—finally—or so some are saying. On top of that, the U.S. Treasury must issue a lot of new debt at higher rates, while foreign countries are reducing their Treasury holdings. Prepare for interest rates to be “higher for longer,” some experts are predicting. I prefer not…
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Luck of the Irish?

LAST FRIDAY AT 7:16 A.M., I sent an email to HumbleDollar’s editor. We were discussing what this blog post should be about. This was before I got the news alert that S&P 500 futures were up bigtime, following the historic selloff the day before. I concluded my email to Jonathan this way: “The market never gives you the big fat target you want. I’ve got great plans if the market behaves today like it did yesterday, or even if it’s flat. But since I’m drawing a bead on that, the market is likely to snap back hard and make me regret not moving yesterday!!” Boy, was I right. Two exclamation points right. But later on Friday, I was totally wrong about how the market would react to President Trump’s press conference, which my company’s chief financial officer will never let me forget. I’ve been around long enough to know I’ll never catch the bottom—if, in fact, Thursday was the bottom, which is a big “if.” Still, it stings to have put in a buy order Friday when the market was roughly flat but have it executed at a price 10% higher, since mutual fund trades don’t settle until the close. Such is life. Mr. Market is like a fish on a dock: When you try to get a hold of him—sploosh!—he’s up and away. What worries me now is that, after shooting higher with a quick flick of his tail, he’ll plunge back into the briny deep. But that’s emotion talking. That’s ego. I should feel grateful that my experience has brought me to a point where I was not overexposed to stocks at the high—they were about 72% of my portfolio—and I had a predetermined trigger point to rebalance back to that level or higher. That trigger—down 20%—is right where…
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Padding the Mattress

CAN YOU EVER HAVE enough? Yes, I’m talking about money. But I’m not some gazillionaire burning up billions on a rocket to space. I’m talking about emergency savings for ordinary people. A cash stash. Rainy-day funds. Mattress money. I thought I had enough a few months ago, but then life happened. Dental work. A blown clutch. More support for my son, who has a great job offer but won’t start work until later this year. Boom, a big chunk of my savings was gone and, for now, it’s not growing back. Experts say you should keep between three and six months of living expenses in a safe place, free from the vagaries of the stock and bond markets. You can stash the cash in a savings account at a local bank (yielding little more than your mattress), certificates of deposit, saving bonds from the U.S. Treasury or in an online savings account that won’t yield much (but still many times more than your brick-and-mortar bank will pay you). I can’t bring myself to tie up money in CDs and savings bonds, partly because I may need the money suddenly. Instead, I’m partial to the liquidity of my FDIC-insured online savings account. It’s with Ally Bank, yielding about 0.50%, but there are other providers. You can compare their rates here. One thing I like about online savings accounts is that I can put my money in buckets—segregated pools that I can designate for certain purposes. I have one for my daughter’s wedding. It isn’t enough to cover a decent reception—yet. But that’s okay, because she’s not engaged and might not be for years. I don’t count that money as part of my emergency fund because I’m determined never to tap it except for her big occasion. But I haven’t been able…
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Aging Into Bonds

REMEMBER WHEN YOU got that first AARP card in the mail? I must have been 50, not at all ready to begin thinking about senior discounts, and slightly offended. That was 12 years ago. Well, I’m feeling that way again. You see, the grim reaper—oops, I mean retirement—is getting close. That means it’s time to reduce my exposure to stocks, while boosting my holdings of income-oriented investments. It’s a strange feeling for someone who has spent his life investing almost exclusively for capital appreciation. On the one hand, such an adjustment in my asset mix should be strictly by the book, as though I’m running my own target-date fund. Unemotional, mechanical, and free of any ideas about tactical asset allocation. Just part of a long-held plan. On the other hand, I’m concerned about a richly valued stock market propped up—at least until recently—by the “magnificent seven” glamour stocks. In response, I’m considering a tactical move: a bigger cut in my stock allocation than I’d initially planned and, with part of the proceeds, a bet on both high-quality and high-yield corporate bonds. Over the next 10 years, some experts project that bonds could match or beat the stock market indexes. Asset management firms like Vanguard Group, PIMCO and Oaktree Capital Management are pounding the table for bonds. In fact, Oaktree Co-Chair Howard Marks is calling for a fundamental reassessment of the typical stock-bond mix in favor of more bonds, especially corporates. My old plan was to reduce my stock allocation from its current 72% in increments of one or two percentage points per year as I age. I planned to shift money to short-term Treasurys and other safe options, which I’ve generally preferred for the bond and cash part of my portfolio. That’s partly because part of the 28% non-stock part…
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