FREE NEWSLETTER

When the world seems unhinged, doing something feels a whole lot better than doing nothing. But that doesn’t mean it’s wise.

Latest PostsAll Discussions »

Defining Enough

"I think too many of us focus on asset accumulation, returns and spending in retirement. These are very important, but other areas are also very important such as healthcare, estate planning, tax strategy, where to live in retirement and others. These are all important and need to be considered in a good retirement plan."
- Jerry Pinkard
Read more »

What do we Americans want? We want “free” healthcare

"Quinn’s post highlights the lack of good healthcare education. I totally agree, but would add that we individuals need to eat better and exercise more.  The  other day I had my first Jersey Mike’s Philly Sub and a bag of chips. It was sooooooo good, but probably  a lousy  choice for my  health. But the good news is, I just had a great workout at Planet Fittness! "
- Dan Smith
Read more »

Quiet Failure: Time for Me to Say What I Think

"Javier: great post! I believe you have provided a very good summary of what financial planning and living life is all about!"
- Dave Melick
Read more »

Celebrating the Win

"Thanks for sharing your story, David."
- Sanjib Saha
Read more »

Not missing the point

"I think that pretty much nails it. I'm a planner (as you may have guessed): For my hikes tend to have plans B and C for things that matter (eating, shelter, etc). Pretty sure that's also a proxy for wanting control of the situation. My financial planning probably has the same motivation. The trick here I think is to internalize the "serenity prayer" (accept what you can not change, change what you can, know the difference). The accept part I think is the hardest for planners. "The best layed plans of mice and men..." Thanks for reminder, and may the "accept what you can not change" go well for you."
- eludom
Read more »

Better Alternatives to Buying an Annuity

"I recognize that financial planning isn't a one size fits all strategy. I assume we all accept that reality. I'm no fan of annuities and my calculations say they are a bad deal for most. However, the peace of mind that it gives some cannot be underestimated. I'd never buy one because as Roth states, I can create my own income streams at a much lower cost while retainingcontrolof my money. Some people may think an annuity is beneficial to them and it's the job of the advisor to point out all the options available and help them chart the best course. All that said, I understand the point made by Roth but I have no issues if folks want annuities if it makes them sleep better at night."
- Mike Xavier
Read more »

What Remains: Money and Me

"Thank you Jeff or those generous words. When I first began writing for HumbleDollar, I never imagined how much I would learn from both the readers and fellow contributors. I'm grateful for the opportunity to share my stories and reflections, and even more grateful for the thoughtful conversations that follow."
- Andrew Clements
Read more »

Would You Be Miserable?

"I suspect most of us would say we wouldn’t like five years of poor market returns, even if our finances could withstand them. There’s a difference between financial security and emotional comfort. One lesson retirement has taught me is that the market and my happiness don’t have to move in lockstep. If my basic needs are covered and the people I care about are healthy, a miserable market would be an annoyance, not a crisis. Easier said than done, of course, when we’ve spent decades being conditioned to cheer every green number. But one lesson Jonathan has taught me, stop checking your account balances every day!"
- Andrew Clements
Read more »

It’s The Little Things That Scare Me Now

"Hi Dennis, I found a new little thing based on age. It was recently time for the annual renewal for my umbrella policy. The premium has increased a bit every year since I first got the policy but this year the proposed premium increased over 40% from the prior year. No car accidents, no tickets, no claims of any kind on either the bundled house or vehicle insurance policies, and a credit score in the excellent range. What gives on the increase? Rereading the umbrella declarations I noted the following bullet point - 2 Operators in the household of which 1 is 75 or over. After a call to my insurance company agent of more than a quarter century I confirmed my suspicion that this company deems those of us age 75 and over a higher risk and they were billing me for their statistically higher risk. Apparently, other umbrella insurance companies set a rate increase at age 80 so I am back to renewing my new umbrella policy at a bit of an increase every year for the next five years with a different insurance company but with the same agent. If the time comes when I no longer feel safe driving or the state takes away my drivers license I may forego renewing my umbrella policy. Best, Bill"
- William Perry
Read more »

The Ping

"SCao, if my post managed to make even one person smile, it was worth every second I spent writing it."
- Mark Crothers
Read more »

Mourning the World

"I lost my brother at 59 years old to Alzheimer’s and Lewy body dementias (he donated his brain to the memory disorders clicic at Mass General. He was non communicative for years before his death as well as unaware of his surroundings as well. At his passing I kept thinking is he in pain, does he hear us, and does he know what is happening? Six months later my father died at 85 of suspected Lewy body dementia and was non communicative for the last six or so months. Then my mother passed away at 85 six months after that after having dementia for more than a decade. She did not recognize any of the family for years. So for the passing of half of my family we could not support them, or know their thoughts as their lives were ending. It was horrible. Last year my mother in law passed away at 103 1/4 and was in complete control of her capacities until the day she passed away. She lived in senior housing until 102 when her husband went to a nursing home and she moved in with us. Other than by age she physically never would have qualified for nursing home care. The way the end of her life ended up going was a blessing for me. For the newer readers of HD you can read my thoughts on her under my David Lancaster profile (I had to create a new profile via Discus due to problems logging on to HD via X."
- DavidHLancaster
Read more »

Defining Enough

"I think too many of us focus on asset accumulation, returns and spending in retirement. These are very important, but other areas are also very important such as healthcare, estate planning, tax strategy, where to live in retirement and others. These are all important and need to be considered in a good retirement plan."
- Jerry Pinkard
Read more »

What do we Americans want? We want “free” healthcare

"Quinn’s post highlights the lack of good healthcare education. I totally agree, but would add that we individuals need to eat better and exercise more.  The  other day I had my first Jersey Mike’s Philly Sub and a bag of chips. It was sooooooo good, but probably  a lousy  choice for my  health. But the good news is, I just had a great workout at Planet Fittness! "
- Dan Smith
Read more »

Quiet Failure: Time for Me to Say What I Think

"Javier: great post! I believe you have provided a very good summary of what financial planning and living life is all about!"
- Dave Melick
Read more »

Celebrating the Win

"Thanks for sharing your story, David."
- Sanjib Saha
Read more »

Not missing the point

"I think that pretty much nails it. I'm a planner (as you may have guessed): For my hikes tend to have plans B and C for things that matter (eating, shelter, etc). Pretty sure that's also a proxy for wanting control of the situation. My financial planning probably has the same motivation. The trick here I think is to internalize the "serenity prayer" (accept what you can not change, change what you can, know the difference). The accept part I think is the hardest for planners. "The best layed plans of mice and men..." Thanks for reminder, and may the "accept what you can not change" go well for you."
- eludom
Read more »

Better Alternatives to Buying an Annuity

"I recognize that financial planning isn't a one size fits all strategy. I assume we all accept that reality. I'm no fan of annuities and my calculations say they are a bad deal for most. However, the peace of mind that it gives some cannot be underestimated. I'd never buy one because as Roth states, I can create my own income streams at a much lower cost while retainingcontrolof my money. Some people may think an annuity is beneficial to them and it's the job of the advisor to point out all the options available and help them chart the best course. All that said, I understand the point made by Roth but I have no issues if folks want annuities if it makes them sleep better at night."
- Mike Xavier
Read more »

What Remains: Money and Me

"Thank you Jeff or those generous words. When I first began writing for HumbleDollar, I never imagined how much I would learn from both the readers and fellow contributors. I'm grateful for the opportunity to share my stories and reflections, and even more grateful for the thoughtful conversations that follow."
- Andrew Clements
Read more »

Would You Be Miserable?

"I suspect most of us would say we wouldn’t like five years of poor market returns, even if our finances could withstand them. There’s a difference between financial security and emotional comfort. One lesson retirement has taught me is that the market and my happiness don’t have to move in lockstep. If my basic needs are covered and the people I care about are healthy, a miserable market would be an annoyance, not a crisis. Easier said than done, of course, when we’ve spent decades being conditioned to cheer every green number. But one lesson Jonathan has taught me, stop checking your account balances every day!"
- Andrew Clements
Read more »

Free Newsletter

Get Educated

Manifesto

NO. 50: WE SHOULD strive to raise financially responsible children. If our kids grow up to make foolish financial mistakes, we’ll likely ride to the rescue—and their problems will be ours.

think

LOSS AVERSION. Behavioral finance experts say we aren’t so much risk averse as loss averse: We get more pain from losses than pleasure from gains—perhaps twice as much. This is why losing stocks cause such anguish. Some react by panicking and selling. But others will double down on losing stocks, taking more risk in hopes of quickly recouping the loss.

act

GET A WILL. Less than half of U.S. adults have a will. Without one, many of your assets will be distributed according to state law, plus you won’t have a say in who becomes your children’s guardian. Some folks don’t bother with a will, because they have a living trust. But when you die, there’ll inevitably be assets outside the trust—and, for them, you need a will.

Truths

NO. 72: EXPECTED return and risk change over time. Historically, commodity futures have delivered great returns and been great diversifiers for stocks—but both qualities have waned, as investors rushed to take advantage. The same may be true for the high excess return from owning value stocks, smaller companies and stocks in general.

Portfolio builder

Manifesto

NO. 50: WE SHOULD strive to raise financially responsible children. If our kids grow up to make foolish financial mistakes, we’ll likely ride to the rescue—and their problems will be ours.

Spotlight: Behavior

Taking It Personally

WHICH FINANCIAL dangers should we focus on? The possibilities seem pretty much endless. In fact, five years ago, I decided to make a list—and ended up offering readers 50 shades of risk.
Yet our notion of risk used to be far more circumscribed.
In the late 1980s, when I started writing about personal finance, insurance was considered important, but it wasn’t much discussed. Instead, the only risk that seemed to merit serious analysis was investment risk,

Read more »

Care to join me on my yacht cruising the Mediterranean? Do you envy the super wealthy? RDQ

There was a time when I probably did- that was many years ago when sailing around the Mediterranean in my luxury yacht was a fantasy. Once, decades ago, I actually explored the cost of renting such a yacht. Back then it was $200,000 a week, plus tips for the crew and the cost of the food you selected. I was afraid I couldn’t afford the tips- but I could bring eight friends to impress.
These days I don’t envy of the billionaires,

Read more »

Kicking Myself

THERE ARE TWO TYPES of mistake I make: those that are unintentional and those where I should have known what would happen.
After an unintentional mistake, I’m perplexed by what went wrong. I might say to myself “I’ll never do that again” or perhaps “what the heck just happened?” These are genuine mistakes, and I try to learn from them.
By contrast, stupid mistakes are those that I should have known would occur. No matter how many college degrees we have or how many years on the job,

Read more »

Mirror, Mirror on the Wall

They say at 20 years of age you have the face that nature gave you.  At 40, you have the face life gave you and at 60, you have the face you deserve. This is a variation on a quote attributed to both George Orwell, author and essayist, and Coco Chanel, fashion maven. If this is true, it means  that our choices and attitudes leave an indelible mark on our character which ultimately surfaces in our physical appearance.

Read more »

Who’s Watching You?

WHEN I ATTENDED Sunday school as a child, I was taught that God is always watching over me. It was a frightening notion, but one I grew accustomed to. My mother would often remind me to “watch your Ps and Qs,” though I wasn’t entirely sure what that meant. Nonetheless, I understood the importance of behaving properly.
Today, it seems we have a different form of surveillance. As George Orwell so aptly depicted in his book 1984,

Read more »

Doubt the Forecast

WHEN PAUL EHRLICH’S obituary appeared a few weeks ago, it came and went without much notice. But during his lifetime, he was enormously influential.
By training, Ehrlich was a biologist, but he was most well known for his 1968 book, The Population Bomb. It opened with this dire prediction: “The battle to feed all of humanity is over. In the 1970s and 1980s hundreds of millions of people will starve to death.”
In his writings and speeches over the years,

Read more »

Spotlight: Saha

Diminished Value

A CRUCIAL STEP WHEN buying a preowned car is to scrutinize its Carfax report. A single-owner car with a regular maintenance history and which was driven solely for personal use should be a safe bet, while an accident record gives most people pause. All things being equal, a car that was in an accident, however minor, ought to cost less than a similar one with a clean history. Some bargain hunters don’t mind taking a chance on a car with an accident history as long as it drives well. After all, the discount can be quite attractive. This might seem unfair for a seller who wasn’t at fault for the accident. Even if the car was repaired to perfection and the tab was picked by the other party’s insurance, how does the owner recover the value lost? A recent accident forced us to find out the answer. We flew across the country to spend the Labor Day week with my brother-in-law. While driving us around in his almost-new car, he was rear-ended by a pickup truck. Thankfully, no one was hurt, and the car was still drivable. The pickup’s apologetic driver accepted fault and assured us that his insurance would cover all repairs. Still, we worried about the car’s market value. It turns out that my brother-in-law can recoup some of the loss through a diminished value claim. First, he needs to get a fair estimate of the loss of market value due to the accident. This might involve researching prices of similar used cars with and without an accident history, or even getting a free estimate. Next, he must contact the other driver’s insurance company and specifically request diminished value compensation. This amount would be on top of the repair and rental costs. The claim should be made in a…
Read more »

Identity Crisis

MAY 18, 2020, STARTED as an ordinary Monday. I was busy with office work. An email from our human resources department hit my inbox. It said something about fraudulent unemployment benefits. I couldn’t pay attention right away, so I saved it to read later. That evening, I found five letters from our state’s unemployment claims department in the mail. I’d never heard of such a department, but it reminded me about the email I got earlier. This time, I read the email more carefully. It turned out that someone had filed for unemployment benefits using my personal information. Many coworkers were also affected. They’d had little luck in contacting the state’s unemployment claims department directly. On behalf of the impacted workers, our employer was working with the department to flag these claims as illegitimate. Needless to say, I was surprised and worried. The letters from the state, dated between May 14 and 16, had bigger surprises. First, the department still seemed unaware that the claim filed on my account was fraudulent. Second, it appeared the department had started making payments without complete verification. The third surprise was most disturbing. Sensitive personal information about my employment and wages were included in the letters. I couldn’t tell whether that information was also sent electronically to the fraudulent claimant. That would surely make me a target for future, possibly more sophisticated, cyberattacks. I was curious about how this had happened, but first I needed to worry about my own vulnerability. My personal information had previously been exposed by a few of the well-known security breaches, including one involving my former mortgage lender. It had taken me months to sort out an identity-related tax fraud a few years ago. That experience was frustrating. The prospect of repeating that same drill was daunting. Sadly, I had no…
Read more »

Aging Well

LIKE MANY IMMIGRANTS living in the U.S., I regularly return to my hometown to visit family and friends. My trips to Kolkata are usually short and jam-packed, seeing not just contemporaries, but also the older generation, including aunts and uncles, my parents’ friends and my friends’ parents. My two recent visits—one last fall and the other this spring—were no exception, but I had mixed feelings this time. Most of the older generation are now in their 70s and early 80s, and two of them had passed away since my last pre-pandemic visit. I was happy to be able to catch up with the rest. But I was also saddened and surprised to find that, since my last visit, a few didn’t seem to be doing well emotionally, as if they’re struggling to find meaning in life. On the surface, health problems and mobility issues are to blame, but that alone doesn’t explain such a change within a few short years. With most of their family members or adult children living elsewhere, these folks have no one to lean on for day-to-day support. They resist getting professional in-home senior care services or moving to retirement communities. This mental block is cultural and emotional, not financial. Meanwhile, the rest of my older acquaintances seem to be having a great time in their golden years. They, too, face health and mobility issues, but these don’t appear to affect their positive outlook on life. The best example is my maternal aunt—my mother’s younger sister—whom I call Mashi. Despite dealing with several family tragedies within the past year, including losing her husband of 50 years after a long period of ill-health, Mashi remains upbeat and full of energy. If you were to guess her age based on appearance and activities, you’d probably be off by…
Read more »

Ready or Not

THE PAST FEW WEEKS have brought back memories of the 2008 financial crisis. Back then, stocks were at bargain prices, but I had little money to invest. Today, my financial house is much stronger—and I want to be ready to buy if stocks get dirt cheap. I’ve already made some portfolio adjustments. But from here, my plan is to keep an eye on stock market valuations. A large percentage drop by the market averages might—by itself—create the false impression that stocks are cheap, so instead I prefer to watch valuation measures such as the market’s price-earnings multiple, price-to-book value and dividend yield. What are these metrics saying? Despite a 27% drop from its peak, the S&P 500 isn’t exactly cheap. For instance, the cyclically adjusted P/E ratio, or CAPE, is still above its historical average by a large margin. Most other valuation measures paint a similar picture. At these levels, the odds of superior market returns are still low. I’ve decided to wait to overweight stocks, at least until valuations are closer to normal. I’d put a normal valuation for the S&P 500 at around 1800—a 47% drop from the Feb. 19 all-time high. That size drop has happened just five times, including two occasions since 2000. That’s when I’ll start shifting my asset allocation to overweight stocks. Until then, I’m fine with dollar-cost averaging my ongoing savings into my current asset allocation. Meanwhile, I’d consider stocks dirt cheap if valuations fall 25% below their historical averages. That would require a whopping 60% drop from the peak, taking the S&P 500 well below 1400. A drop of that magnitude, which would motivate me to bet big, hasn’t happened since the Great Depression. Even at the depth of the 2007-09 bear market, the fall was smaller. Think I’m daydreaming? Perhaps. The stock market…
Read more »

Eye of the Beholder

ARE JUNK BONDS RISKY? That was the question from a friend in his late 20s, whom I’ll call Josh. I answered that they were probably risky for him, but quite safe for me. Josh looked puzzled—until I explained that risk is in the eye of the beholder. Josh has a stable career that pays well, but he doesn’t plan to stick with it forever. Instead, he wants a job that relates to his passion for outdoor activities. His strategy? Sock away as much money as possible. Once he’s done saving for retirement, he’ll switch to a more interesting job that pays just enough to sustain his lifestyle. Josh has many years before he taps his retirement fund. He needs growth to maximize the power of investment compounding over his long time horizon. Income investments, whether FDIC-insured bank deposits or high-yield bonds, would endanger his nest egg’s growth prospects. He’s safer buying stocks and taking more risk. My situation is different. I’ll soon start to live off my investments. I’m always looking to diversify my portfolio’s income sources. I can live with small doses of high-yield bonds, preferred stock and senior bank loans to boost my cashflow. No, these investments don’t promise price stability. But I can count on these riskier sources of income for my non-essential expenses. All investments are risky in one way or another. But their risk should not be viewed in isolation. An investor’s own situation and objectives matter the most. An investment is risky when it doesn’t align with your overall financial goals. It’s safe when it fits well with the rest of your investments and it has a clear purpose in your portfolio. Consider two casino games. In the first game, there’s a 25% chance of doubling your money. Otherwise, you get back just half…
Read more »

Relative Affluence

WHEN RESTRICTIONS ON travel eased this year, I visited Kolkata, India, where I grew up and my mother still lives. The airline ticket and other travel costs were almost 75% higher than my last visit four years ago. This year, I’ve grown used to price shocks at every turn, from groceries to gas, so the steep ticket price didn’t shock me. What did surprise me was my feeling of affluence once I arrived. Traveling to a low-cost country as a tourist doesn’t necessarily feel like a bargain because most items still have an international price tag. But living like a local is another matter. Everything seems dirt cheap to folks from high-income countries. Curious to know how far my U.S.-earned dollars went during my stay in India? Consider: A dime would get me a freshly made hot tea from a roadside tea stall, served in a disposable earthen cup. For a nickel more, most sellers would upgrade it to a masala chai—milk tea flavored with ginger, cardamon and other aromatic spices. A quarter paid for the return bus ticket to my aunt’s place four miles away. What else could I buy for a quarter? How about a recently picked large guava to savor with rock salt, or a bag of fresh flowers that my mother needed for her morning offerings to the gods? A half-dollar would buy a hearty Bengali breakfast dish from an outdoor eatery, if you didn’t mind waiting while the cook prepares it right in front of you. The food would typically be served on a Sal leaf plate, to be trashed afterward in a designated bin. A dollar for a man’s haircut might sound like a promotional offer, but that’s the regular price in the neighborhood salon—and it wasn’t due to the thinning hair of its regular…
Read more »