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Free Breakfast

"Fun topic. Personally, I love a "free" hotel breakfast — it saves the hassle of getting organised and leaving the complex. It also appeals to my frugal side: I tend to go big at breakfast, which means I can skip lunch (bar a bit of fruit) and just pay for a proper evening meal instead. Bonus: I enjoy that dinner even more, since I've actually got an edge to my hunger by then."
- Mark Crothers
Read more »

Growing Up In A Big House

"Dan, I loved this piece. It’s amazing how relative scale is when you’re a kid—your parents built a wonderful life and legacy in that house. It reminds me of the "three up, two down" I grew up in over here, with five rooms packed into just 600 square feet. Our only heat was a single portable kerosene heater that burned a pink fuel, and one of my favorite winter pastimes was scraping frozen condensation off the inside of the window frames—only learning years later that the heater itself caused it. We were always grateful for families like yours whose hand-me-downs ended up in the local charity shops. That said, someday we really need to have a serious chat about your childhood fashion choices... not your finest work! 😉"
- Mark Crothers
Read more »

On Being a “Healthy” Person

"Yep. My husband’s doctor told him that “everyone your age should be on a statin” (we’re 66). I don’t know about that, but I get the drift."
- DrLefty
Read more »

Locking it in

"Thanks Howard. I love the term "non-plan plan". Agreed with your take on luck - I will gladly confess that a whole lot of where we are at is due to our incredible good fortune."
- greg_j_tomamichel
Read more »

A Wedding Too Far

"Edmund, that's a lovely surprise for your daughter. We did something similar for both our girls. On occasion, I had to hold my tongue with some of the spending choices... although, that could have been my frugality gene overreacting."
- Mark Crothers
Read more »

Continuing Care

I EXPECTED TO SPEND early 2017 blogging about my fourth round-the-world trip, which I’d just completed, and planning my next journey. Instead, I spent much of the year on the couch with a heating pad, in between assorted medical appointments, everything from acupuncture to meeting with an infectious disease specialist.

Eventually, I got a definitive diagnosis—I had a form of rheumatoid arthritis—and, in early 2018, an effective medication. But I had been forcibly reminded of something I’d first learned 10 years earlier, when I broke my ankle. My house, as things currently stood, was not suitable for aging in place.

But was aging in place a good idea? During 2017, I learned just how debilitating persistent pain could be. I was 70, single (by choice), childless (by choice) and with no close relatives nearer than England. I already had a chronic, potentially disabling disease. What if I suffered a stroke or heart attack, or fell and broke a hip, or developed dementia? At a moment when I was least able to handle the decision, I’d have to find and fund in-home care, or move to an assisted living or skilled nursing facility.

In addition, I was thoroughly tired of the responsibility and cost of maintaining my house, not to mention preparing all my meals. Those of you thinking that your spouse could handle such things should bear in mind that, at some point, one of you will be a surviving spouse. Even if you have children close by, do you really want to burden them with your care?

I had friends living happily in continuing care retirement communities, and there were a number of CCRCs nearby. A CCRC typically offers a continuum of care from independent living to assisted living to skilled nursing. It was time to do my research. Ruth Alvarez's guide to CCRCs proved invaluable. HumbleDollar readers can also get a good introduction to the four types of CCRC by reading Howard Rohleder’s 2022 article.

For me, the choice of type was straightforward. I wanted a place that promised not to throw me out if I ran out of money and preferably backed that promise with a benevolent fund. I wanted a nonprofit, because a good for-profit might too easily be taken over by a bad one. I wanted on-site assisted living and skilled nursing, which is pretty standard among CCRCs. I wanted a place that accepted Medicare and Medicaid, and had a good rating. I wanted a place that had been open for a while and had sound financials. And I wanted an on-site clinic, exercise facilities and plenty of activities. I started collecting brochures.

[xyz-ihs snippet="Mobile-Subscribe"]

If a CCRC is regulated, it’s regulated by the state government. North Carolina requires CCRCs to give prospective residents a detailed financial and policy disclosure statement, and also post these documents online. That's how I learned that one potential CCRC didn't own its land and buildings, and another appeared to be operating at a loss. The brochures were fairly basic, although they usually included floor plans. Clearly, a visit was the acid test.

My first choice turned out to be an unexpected disappointment. It didn't feel friendly and seemed rather isolated. Another promising prospect, offering plenty of continuing education opportunities in conjunction with one of the local universities, had ceilings so low that the apartments felt claustrophobic. It also seemed to be spending a lot of money on décor, and charged comparatively more for independent living so that it could charge less for assisted living. I preferred to gamble that I’d spend longer in independent living.

I ended up putting down a refundable deposit at a nonprofit CCRC with good-looking financials that had been operating for 30 years—long enough that some residents were second generation. It was walking distance to a library, cafes and restaurants, and was also on a bus line. Everyone I met there was friendly, plus it had the welcoming vibe I’d missed at my first choice. In early 2019, the wait for a one-bedroom apartment was four-plus years, but the next year I was able to switch to a two bedroom in a new building that should be completed this summer.

All the apartments in the new building are at least two bedrooms. Many, if not most, of the prospective residents are couples. The CCRC solution is attractive enough that some couples are moving to a one bedroom, while they wait for a two bedroom to become available. The wait list at my choice is now seven-plus years for a one bedroom, 10-plus for a two bedroom in the original building and 12-plus for a cottage. The CCRC’s wait list population is 65% couples and 35% single individuals. If you need a place with no wait list, probably your only hope—at least in my area—is a CCRC that’s just starting or possibly one that’s undertaking a major expansion. You also need to pass both a physical and financial check when moving in, another reason to plan ahead.

Before my expected move to the CCRC, I moved to an apartment and sold my house. I’ve been pleasantly surprised to find that I don’t miss the house, despite living there for more than 30 years. The move to a two-bedroom apartment meant I could keep my study, which certainly made the change easier. Another bonus: After paying the CCRC entry fee, I’ll qualify for a substantial medical deduction on this year's taxes—which I’ll use to reduce the tax on a Roth conversion.

Kathy Wilhelm, who comments on HumbleDollar as mytimetotravel, is a former software engineer. She took early retirement so she could travel extensively. Born and educated in England, Kathy has lived in North Carolina since 1975.

[xyz-ihs snippet="Donate"]

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Remembering Jonathan

"Chris, thank you so much for your prayer and beautiful words. Jonathan’s kindness is also what I remember most, and you’re right, he continued teaching all of us until the very end. Your encouragement about my own writing means more than you know. Writing for HumbleDollar has helped me remain connected to Jonathan and to the wonderful community he created. Please know that your reading matters, whether or not you leave a comment."
- Andrew Clements
Read more »

Wedding Cost is just the beginning

"Agreed Dick - spending money on family and friends is a wonderful thing."
- greg_j_tomamichel
Read more »

Taking It With You

DEEP DOWN INSIDE, I want to be the richest person in the graveyard.  I retired at age 62, confident in our financial plan to survive market fluctuations. We saved over 25% of our income for nearly three decades. Perhaps a bit too much, but we lived well and always had sufficient funds to raise a family, maintain our household, and put our children through postgraduate education. If anything, our retirement spending level is conservative, based on a 40 year time frame for both my wife and I. We have a slightly nuanced financial plan. Suffice to say it is reassuring to know that we are beyond financial security if we simply maintain an inflation adjusted 4% withdrawal rate. Indeed, calculations suggested we could double our pre-retirement budget, with no worries or loss of sleep. Risk be damned! Slowly, we made a conscious decision to spend more. At first it was tough to break old habits. I mean, frugality runs deep in my immediate family. You could use my brother and I as chromosomal templates in a genetic search to discover the frugality gene.  My wife and I now go out for coffee without blinking an eye at paying nearly 6 bucks for a cup of Joe (plus tip). We don’t hesitate to escape the Houston heat by scarfing 5 dollar a scoop ice cream. We no longer plan our restaurant outings according to Happy Hour schedules or local senior discounts.  Even so, three years into retirement, our annual spending remains well below what our financial plan says we can safely afford.  Time to up the ante. We bought season tickets to the symphony and added a dinner date before the performance. We took international vacations twice a year, exploring new countries and cultures. We drove to national parks and treated ourselves to overnights in hotels instead of motels. We gifted our children, with hopes they would bolster their own long-term savings. Gosh, we even made significant charitable gifts to institutions we only previously dreamed of supporting.  Spending is easy. Spending wisely is a challenge. Ironically, the strong stock market since our retirement has made it remarkably difficult to spend our money as initially planned. It sounds counter intuitive, but let me explain.  Our retirement portfolio allocation has a stock to bond ratio of 75:25.  The stock component primarily matches total market returns. Specifically, our stock component has grown more than 65% since we retired. Because of this, we put aside 10 years of safer funds (bonds and cash equivalents) to weather any potential market storm. We successfully navigated the immediate sequence of return risk (SORR) hurdle, that pesky danger of facing a poor investment market performance in earliest years of retirement.  We feel both blessed and safe. We sleep well at night. Our financial calculators now indicate that we can spend even more than original predictions. Yet that realization is causing me angst. After all, we spent a lifetime saving, scrimping and sacrificing to reach this point. Indeed, we value the concepts of avoiding excess, of seeking value and purpose in purchases. Our goals were never to impress the neighbors, but rather be content and grateful with what we have.   I want people to know I had a choice about how I spent my accumulated dollars. I chose a life of frugality, questioning everything I purchased. Do I really need that new phone? My current one makes calls, surfs the web, and navigates when I need directions.  Do I need a new car? My dented 11 year old Honda gets me safely to my destinations. Shall I purchase the kayak I’ve been eyeing, or simply rent one for the two times a year I brave the waters?  Perhaps the real measure of a successful retirement is not how much money remains at the end, but whether those resources were used in ways that enriched the lives of others and brought meaning to our own. Financial independence now gives us choices, and a freedom after decades of disciplined saving. It is okay if I leave this world with more than enough funds still in the bank. There are values I learned along the way; those of prudence, generosity, gratitude, and the quiet confidence that comes from living well below one's means. In the end, wealth is simply a tool; character is the true legacy. Perhaps the goal isn't to die with the largest portfolio, but to know that every dollar reflected the values by which we chose to live. Therefore, if I can’t spend it all according to my values, I guess I’m okay with being the one of the richest men in the graveyard.  Jeffrey K. Actor, PhD, was a professor at a major medical school in Houston for more than 25 years, serving as an academic researcher with interests in how immune responses function to fight pathogenic diseases. Jeff’s retirement goals are to write short science fiction stories, volunteer in the community and spend time in his garden. Check out his earlier articles.
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Financial Fraud

RECENTLY, A FELLOW—let’s call him Tom—contacted me with a distressing story of financial fraud. I’ll describe what happened then review steps you might take to prevent this same sort of thing. Tom first noticed there might be a problem when he spotted a larger-than-average withdrawal from his checking account. The payee was a 529 college savings plan. But because Tom and his wife—let’s call her Jane—have 529 accounts for their children, the transaction almost went unnoticed. Tom assumed it was a transfer into his own family’s account. But when he mentioned it to Jane, she noted that they had stopped contributing to their 529. That prompted them to investigate further. What they found was that scammers had set up a new 529 account in Tom’s name. They then initiated an electronic funds transfer to move more than $2,000 from Tom and Jane’s checking account into the new 529 set up by the thieves. The intention presumably was to then withdraw the funds from the 529, at which point the theft would become unrecoverable. How were the thieves able to initiate the transfer from Tom and Jane’s bank? This is the part that’s distressing: They took advantage of the widely-used Automated Clearing House (ACH) system. Unfortunately, this system has key weaknesses that make it susceptible to fraud like this. First, it allows funds to be “pulled” out of an account. That’s in contrast to a wire transfer, which can only be “pushed” out by someone with access to the account. So a thief would only need your name, account number and bank routing number to siphon funds from that account. And unfortunately, that information is printed on the front of every check, making it accessible to someone looking to perpetrate this type of scheme. Once the thief had the new 529 account set up in Tom’s name, it was just one simple step to initiate a transfer from Tom and Jane’s bank since the accountholder’s name was the same on both accounts. It was so seamless that if Tom hadn’t been reviewing the transactions in his account, he might never have noticed the theft. According to the FBI, losses due to cybercrime have increased from $1 billion per year to $21 billion over the past 10 years, and ACH theft is a tactic thieves are using more frequently, so it’s worth looking at strategies to help keep your accounts secure. Here are six recommendations.
  1. Secure the login to your bank account by setting up two-factor authentication. And if your bank supports it, use an authenticator app, rather than text messages, for the authentication codes. Ideally, if your bank supports it, switch to a passkey. This is a newer technology that represents a significant advance over traditional passwords. Most importantly, they aren’t vulnerable to phishing attacks. They’re also easier to use, providing one-click logins, and you can store passkeys in a password manager. For those reasons, more websites are beginning to support passkeys. I’d make the switch as soon as your bank makes them available.
  2. Set up alerts through your bank to monitor activity in your checking account. Every bank is different, but most allow you to set up email- or text-based alerts to let you know when transactions above a specified threshold are processed, or when other types of activity occur.
  3. Monitor your transactions. These days, it can be hard to keep an eye on every account. Households often have one or more bank accounts plus credit cards and electronic payment services like Venmo or Zelle. Most people realistically don’t have the time to review every account in real time. That’s why I recommend a service like Monarch or YNAB, which are web-based versions of traditional budgeting tools like Quicken. These services can pull in transactions from all your accounts and present them in a consolidated list, making review much easier. If you kept Monarch or YNAB open in a browser window on your home computer, you could scroll through recent transactions whenever you have a spare minute.
  4. To narrow the circle of people who have access to your account information, try limiting the number of paper checks you write. Especially with Zelle and Venmo as alternatives for making payments, this is getting easier. If you do write paper checks, be sure to use a gel pen and to avoid freestanding mailboxes. Those steps can help prevent a related type of fraud, as Jonathan Clements explained a few years back.
  5. Pay attention to notifications of data breaches. Unfortunately, breach announcements seem to occur so frequently that we’ve become immune to them. It’s worth paying attention, though, to understand which particular pieces of information have been stolen. If it looks like your banking information is included in a breach, it might be worth opening a new account, inconvenient as that would be.
  6. Have your guard up against unsolicited phone calls, emails or text messages. If someone is contacting you about an “account security issue,” or claims to be calling from your bank or from the IRS, be especially wary. Those are common tactics for creating a sense of urgency that can cause people to let their guard down.
What if, like Tom and Jane, you spot a fraudulent transaction in your account? Then it’s important to report it as quickly as possible. Regulation E can limit your liability, but the faster you report a suspicious transaction, the more protection it provides. Liability is limited to just $50 if a theft is reported within two business days, but that exposure increases to $500 if it’s reported later. And after 60 days, there are no guarantees. Thieves, unfortunately, don’t seem to sleep, which means that we need to be more vigilant than in the past, and need to be continuously vigilant. As personal finance author Mike Piper wrote recently, “Cybersecurity should be considered another core area of personal finance—no different from insurance planning, for instance.” Adam M. Grossman is the founder of Mayport, a fixed-fee wealth management firm. Sign up for Adam's Daily Ideas email, follow him on X @AdamMGrossman and check out his earlier articles.
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A bleak picture for retirement in the future?

"My calculations say married filing jointly in 2024 with MAGI of $250k would be in the 1.4x IRMAA bracket. Part B would be about $974 more per person per year in 2026 ($202.90*12*0.4)."
- Randy Dobkin
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Free Breakfast

"Fun topic. Personally, I love a "free" hotel breakfast — it saves the hassle of getting organised and leaving the complex. It also appeals to my frugal side: I tend to go big at breakfast, which means I can skip lunch (bar a bit of fruit) and just pay for a proper evening meal instead. Bonus: I enjoy that dinner even more, since I've actually got an edge to my hunger by then."
- Mark Crothers
Read more »

Growing Up In A Big House

"Dan, I loved this piece. It’s amazing how relative scale is when you’re a kid—your parents built a wonderful life and legacy in that house. It reminds me of the "three up, two down" I grew up in over here, with five rooms packed into just 600 square feet. Our only heat was a single portable kerosene heater that burned a pink fuel, and one of my favorite winter pastimes was scraping frozen condensation off the inside of the window frames—only learning years later that the heater itself caused it. We were always grateful for families like yours whose hand-me-downs ended up in the local charity shops. That said, someday we really need to have a serious chat about your childhood fashion choices... not your finest work! 😉"
- Mark Crothers
Read more »

On Being a “Healthy” Person

"Yep. My husband’s doctor told him that “everyone your age should be on a statin” (we’re 66). I don’t know about that, but I get the drift."
- DrLefty
Read more »

Locking it in

"Thanks Howard. I love the term "non-plan plan". Agreed with your take on luck - I will gladly confess that a whole lot of where we are at is due to our incredible good fortune."
- greg_j_tomamichel
Read more »

A Wedding Too Far

"Edmund, that's a lovely surprise for your daughter. We did something similar for both our girls. On occasion, I had to hold my tongue with some of the spending choices... although, that could have been my frugality gene overreacting."
- Mark Crothers
Read more »

Continuing Care

I EXPECTED TO SPEND early 2017 blogging about my fourth round-the-world trip, which I’d just completed, and planning my next journey. Instead, I spent much of the year on the couch with a heating pad, in between assorted medical appointments, everything from acupuncture to meeting with an infectious disease specialist.

Eventually, I got a definitive diagnosis—I had a form of rheumatoid arthritis—and, in early 2018, an effective medication. But I had been forcibly reminded of something I’d first learned 10 years earlier, when I broke my ankle. My house, as things currently stood, was not suitable for aging in place.

But was aging in place a good idea? During 2017, I learned just how debilitating persistent pain could be. I was 70, single (by choice), childless (by choice) and with no close relatives nearer than England. I already had a chronic, potentially disabling disease. What if I suffered a stroke or heart attack, or fell and broke a hip, or developed dementia? At a moment when I was least able to handle the decision, I’d have to find and fund in-home care, or move to an assisted living or skilled nursing facility.

In addition, I was thoroughly tired of the responsibility and cost of maintaining my house, not to mention preparing all my meals. Those of you thinking that your spouse could handle such things should bear in mind that, at some point, one of you will be a surviving spouse. Even if you have children close by, do you really want to burden them with your care?

I had friends living happily in continuing care retirement communities, and there were a number of CCRCs nearby. A CCRC typically offers a continuum of care from independent living to assisted living to skilled nursing. It was time to do my research. Ruth Alvarez's guide to CCRCs proved invaluable. HumbleDollar readers can also get a good introduction to the four types of CCRC by reading Howard Rohleder’s 2022 article.

For me, the choice of type was straightforward. I wanted a place that promised not to throw me out if I ran out of money and preferably backed that promise with a benevolent fund. I wanted a nonprofit, because a good for-profit might too easily be taken over by a bad one. I wanted on-site assisted living and skilled nursing, which is pretty standard among CCRCs. I wanted a place that accepted Medicare and Medicaid, and had a good rating. I wanted a place that had been open for a while and had sound financials. And I wanted an on-site clinic, exercise facilities and plenty of activities. I started collecting brochures.

[xyz-ihs snippet="Mobile-Subscribe"]

If a CCRC is regulated, it’s regulated by the state government. North Carolina requires CCRCs to give prospective residents a detailed financial and policy disclosure statement, and also post these documents online. That's how I learned that one potential CCRC didn't own its land and buildings, and another appeared to be operating at a loss. The brochures were fairly basic, although they usually included floor plans. Clearly, a visit was the acid test.

My first choice turned out to be an unexpected disappointment. It didn't feel friendly and seemed rather isolated. Another promising prospect, offering plenty of continuing education opportunities in conjunction with one of the local universities, had ceilings so low that the apartments felt claustrophobic. It also seemed to be spending a lot of money on décor, and charged comparatively more for independent living so that it could charge less for assisted living. I preferred to gamble that I’d spend longer in independent living.

I ended up putting down a refundable deposit at a nonprofit CCRC with good-looking financials that had been operating for 30 years—long enough that some residents were second generation. It was walking distance to a library, cafes and restaurants, and was also on a bus line. Everyone I met there was friendly, plus it had the welcoming vibe I’d missed at my first choice. In early 2019, the wait for a one-bedroom apartment was four-plus years, but the next year I was able to switch to a two bedroom in a new building that should be completed this summer.

All the apartments in the new building are at least two bedrooms. Many, if not most, of the prospective residents are couples. The CCRC solution is attractive enough that some couples are moving to a one bedroom, while they wait for a two bedroom to become available. The wait list at my choice is now seven-plus years for a one bedroom, 10-plus for a two bedroom in the original building and 12-plus for a cottage. The CCRC’s wait list population is 65% couples and 35% single individuals. If you need a place with no wait list, probably your only hope—at least in my area—is a CCRC that’s just starting or possibly one that’s undertaking a major expansion. You also need to pass both a physical and financial check when moving in, another reason to plan ahead.

Before my expected move to the CCRC, I moved to an apartment and sold my house. I’ve been pleasantly surprised to find that I don’t miss the house, despite living there for more than 30 years. The move to a two-bedroom apartment meant I could keep my study, which certainly made the change easier. Another bonus: After paying the CCRC entry fee, I’ll qualify for a substantial medical deduction on this year's taxes—which I’ll use to reduce the tax on a Roth conversion.

Kathy Wilhelm, who comments on HumbleDollar as mytimetotravel, is a former software engineer. She took early retirement so she could travel extensively. Born and educated in England, Kathy has lived in North Carolina since 1975.

[xyz-ihs snippet="Donate"]

Read more »

Remembering Jonathan

"Chris, thank you so much for your prayer and beautiful words. Jonathan’s kindness is also what I remember most, and you’re right, he continued teaching all of us until the very end. Your encouragement about my own writing means more than you know. Writing for HumbleDollar has helped me remain connected to Jonathan and to the wonderful community he created. Please know that your reading matters, whether or not you leave a comment."
- Andrew Clements
Read more »

Wedding Cost is just the beginning

"Agreed Dick - spending money on family and friends is a wonderful thing."
- greg_j_tomamichel
Read more »

Free Newsletter

Get Educated

Manifesto

NO. 16: IT TAKES years to achieve full financial freedom. But we can quickly escape much financial worry—if we live beneath our means, pay off credit card debt and build a cash cushion.

think

MORAL LICENSING. When we’ve behaved well and feel virtuous, we often give ourselves permission to behave badly. Just signed up for your employer’s 401(k) plan? Perversely, this can weaken your willpower—and suddenly a shopping spree seems perfectly reasonable. Even thinking about good behavior can lead folks to feel justified in acting badly.

act

AVOID SITUATIONS where you feel poor. Even as the U.S. standard of living has climbed, overall happiness hasn’t. A key reason: We care about our financial standing relative to others. Don’t exacerbate this problem by going to shops, resorts and restaurants you can barely afford, or moving to a town where your neighbors will be far wealthier.

Truths

NO. 117: TREASURY bonds offer lower yields than corporates, but they come with a key advantage: They usually hold up better when the stock market declines. Bear markets are often triggered by a weakening economy. That leads to falling interest rates and concerns about the safety of corporate bonds, bolstering the price of Treasury securities.

How to think about money

Manifesto

NO. 16: IT TAKES years to achieve full financial freedom. But we can quickly escape much financial worry—if we live beneath our means, pay off credit card debt and build a cash cushion.

Spotlight: Saving

Jonathan Clements Initiative at the Bogle Center for Financial Literacy

I heard Christine Benz talk about this initiative (details at https://boglecenter.net/gettinggoing/) in which young adults (particularly from low income backgrounds) are given $1000 for a Roth IRA.
I started to donate, and then the ‘mind chatter’ started- is this the best way to help? how will they track whether this approach actually helps young people to become better savers and investors?, etc. ( I’m sure I’m not the only person here with many voices in our heads chiming in on financial decisions.) I donated to the Initiative and hope it will prove useful and life-changing in many ways.

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Inflation Hedge

THE OPEN KITCHEN restaurant has been a fixture in Charlotte, North Carolina for 75 years. The restaurant has an old-time feel, with memorabilia, including menus from years gone by, lining its walls. Those old menus provided David Enna, a financial journalist, with a laboratory for examining the effects of inflation.
What did Enna find? The oldest menu on display is from 1963. To state the obvious, today’s prices make those from the 1960s look quaint.

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Spend Nothing

Saving money is the greatest of the financial virtues—and, for much of my adult life, I could hardly have been more virtuous.
This frugality didn’t come naturally. I wasn’t a “born saver.” Rather, I had no choice. Within a few years of graduating university, I found myself married to a PhD student and raising a family in one of the world’s most expensive urban areas. On my junior reporter’s salary, scrimping and saving were the only options.

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Money, Happiness, and Choice

FOR DECADES, RESEARCHERS have been looking at the link between money and happiness. The findings? In short, it’s a mixed bag.
To be sure, there are ways that money can boost happiness, and below are some ideas to consider. But there are also obstacles to contend with. We’ll look first at the obstacles before turning to the recommendations. 
The most significant challenge is the fact that—to a great extent—our happiness level is hard-wired into us.

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The Write Stuff

I’VE BEEN SAVING almost my entire adult life. Early on, three books put me on the path to financial success, helping me to reevaluate how I was living.
The first was The Automatic Millionaire by David Bach. This introduced me to the concept that small, automated savings could lead to big results, thanks to compounding over long periods. Albert Einstein reportedly said, “Compound interest is the eighth wonder of the world. He who understands it,

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Deeply Rooted

JUNE MARKS THREE years since my mum passed from complications of vascular dementia. It was a tough couple of years, watching her mind slowly fail and her world shrink a little more with each passing month. Anyone who has cared for a loved one in the late stages of dementia will know how difficult and disjointed even the simplest conversation becomes. The loops, the confusion, the frustration of trying to redirect someone you love from a thought they can no longer find their way out of.

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Spotlight: Zaccardi

Christmas in October

THE HOLIDAYS ARE almost here, but supply-chain bottlenecks and order backlogs continue to wreak havoc with the economy. Forget stocking up on Halloween candy. Instead, you might want to focus on buying the latest hot Christmas toys for your kids—right now. J.P. Morgan Asset Management put out a research piece last week detailing the logistical nightmare gripping global markets. Its charts reveal a skyrocketing number of anchored containerships near the ports of Los Angeles and Long Beach waiting to unload. Shipping rates are surging. Delivery times are growing. If you’re remodeling your kitchen or waiting on a new car, you probably already know about these problems firsthand—delay after frustrating delay. The hope was that the disruptions and inflation spikes would be temporary—or “transitory,” as the Federal Reserve is wont to say. Yet here we are in the final quarter of the year, and the supply crunch and retail price spikes seem worse than ever. J.P. Morgan’s analysts are optimistic about next year. But this year, we may feel like the Grinch stole Christmas. What should we do? I hate to drum up the toilet paper analogy, but buying gifts early and stockpiling them in your basement could be the wise play. Consider that households remain flush with cash. Online ordering is easier than ever. Retail sales will likely hit new records through the end of the year. There might not be much left on the shelves come Super Saturday—and perhaps not even on Black Friday. Purchasing a Christmas tree before your Thanksgiving turkey could also be a prudent play. The American Christmas Tree Association expects higher prices, and suggests securing your tree early. While we should be prepared for delays and higher prices this holiday season, let’s still remember to be merry. That’s free, after all.
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Winners and Sinners

LAST WEEK SAW additional gains for value stocks, while shares of once highflying growth companies continued to struggle. Meanwhile, foreign markets again rallied. Vanguard FTSE All-World ex-U.S. ETF (symbol: VEU) rose more than 1% last week, even as Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF (VTI) slipped 0.5%. Let’s further unpack these trends. The Nasdaq Composite has endured its worst start to a year since 2009. At the same time, blue chip stocks and some of last year’s losers are suddenly in favor. U.S. high-dividend companies, such as those owned by Vanguard High Dividend Yield ETF (VYM), are up big. Venture overseas for yield, and you’ll see even larger gains. Vanguard International High Dividend Yield ETF (VYMI) is up almost 5% in 2022. A heat map illustrates the story. Shares of some emerging market companies—such as Alibaba and Taiwan Semiconductor—are red hot, higher by more than 10% in the past two weeks. Meanwhile, energy stocks are in the black on the heels of rebounding oil prices. Brazil’s Petroleo Brasileiro, China’s PetroChina and France’s TotalEnergies are green across the board—each up by about 15% this year. On Friday morning, the market digested the monthly University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment survey. That report showed buying conditions for vehicles were at their poorest level in the survey’s history. New and used car prices are through the roof. A key reason: Semiconductor chips are extremely hard to come by, thanks to the pandemic. Moreover, last Wednesday’s Consumer Price Index report showed used car prices up a whopping 37% from a year ago, while the sticker price on the average new vehicle is 12% higher. How are large-cap value stocks like Ford and Toyota doing amid this car crisis? Ford’s shares are up 21% in 2022, while Toyota has climbed 14%. As value-oriented international markets, stable dividend…
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Coming Out Ahead

LAST WEEK’S NEWS that Social Security recipients will receive a 5.9% cost-of-living adjustment for 2022 might seem like a nonevent. After all, those larger monthly checks will be fully devoured by today’s higher prices. Or maybe not. September’s report for the Consumer Price Index (CPI) showed that inflation for medical care services—a big cost for retirees—was quite tame over the past 12 months, rising less than 1%. Seniors also spend significantly less on transportation, so they’re less harmed by the past year’s 15% surge in the cost of new and used cars and trucks, as well as motor vehicle parts. On the downside, younger retirees—or, at least, those willing to travel during the pandemic—have likely felt the brunt of the 18% jump in the cost of “lodging away from home.” One plus for travelers: A strong U.S. dollar has made overseas excursions less pricey. Those in their 60s usually travel more, while those ages 75 and up tend to spend a higher amount on health care. Next year may be kinder to all consumers. According to Bank of America analysts, core CPI—which excludes volatile food and energy items—will rise 4.3% in 2021 and 3.1% in 2022. The Federal Reserve, which looks at a somewhat different inflation measure, expects core inflation to be even lower. What does all this mean? Arguably, those receiving Social Security checks are getting a pretty good deal. They’re receiving a 5.9% raise, while their cost of living appears to be climbing at a slower rate.
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Whither Cash?

IT WASN’T LONG AGO that a saver could make a few bucks in a money market fund. In late 2018, the Federal Reserve had hiked short-term interest rates. By early the next year, Vanguard Federal Money Market Fund (symbol: VMFXX) was sporting a yield near 2.5%. While it might take years to see that sort of juicy risk-free rate again, market observers now believe the Fed will begin a tightening cycle that will lead to higher short-term interest rates. Investors will get an update from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell during his press conference on Wednesday. Here’s something you can check today: There’s a nifty tool to view the implied future federal funds rate. Right now, it’s suggesting that a money market account might yield 1% by late 2023 and perhaps even 1.5% three years from now. In other words, don’t get your hopes up for lofty money market and savings account yields just yet. Concerns over inflation are driving the expectation of higher rates. Just last week, the five-year forward breakeven rate, a measure of expected inflation, climbed to almost 3%, the highest reading in its 18-year history. What’s strange about the recent jump in inflation fears is that medium-term and long-term Treasury yields are under 2%. Perhaps long-run economic growth expectations are tapering off, and that’s reflected in today’s modest yields. One result: To notch a 4% yield, bond investors are currently forced to own high-yield junk bonds. We, as small investors, have an advantage, however. A lot of ink has been devoted to Series I savings bonds over the past six months—with good reason. The annualized yield, which will be updated tomorrow, is likely to be near 7% through April 2022. Even though that lofty rate likely won’t last long, if the market is correct and inflation averages…
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Goodbye Upside

SELLING COVERED calls can sound like a winning investment strategy, especially to yield-hungry investors frustrated by today’s low interest rates. Wouldn’t you know it? There are exchange-traded funds (ETFs) designed to mimic the strategy. For background, covered calls are a yield-enhancement play that involve selling call options against stocks that you own. The call option gives you extra income, but—during the life of the option—your gains are capped at the call option’s strike price. Essentially, you give up the possibility of scoring big gains but receive extra income in return. If the stock goes nowhere—or even if it rises slightly—you get the call premium while still hanging on to the stock. I was shocked when I saw the 2021 performance of Global X Nasdaq 100 Covered Call ETF (symbol: QYLD) compared to that of the Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ), which tracks the Nasdaq 100. The Global X fund was up a paltry 10% last year, while the Invesco ETF soared 27%. To be fair, selling covered calls is a fine endeavor so long as you fully understand the wager you’re making. During periods of sharply rising stock prices, selling away your upside potential is a losing strategy. But when a sideways or bear market strikes, collecting premiums by writing calls should outperform simply owning the shares outright. Tempted to write covered calls? Keep in mind that trading options will likely be a wash over the long run, since options are a zero-sum game. It might even cost you because of the money lost to bid-ask spreads and to any commissions you pay. Perhaps more important, your best-performing stocks will likely be “called away”—and history tells us that a small number of huge winners account for much of the stock market’s gains.
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Whither Crypto?

NO DOUBT ABOUT IT, cryptocurrencies have had a raucous 2021. From bitcoin and ether’s fast start in January, to the rise of dogecoin in April and then the shiba-inu October shenanigans, folks owning seemingly any digital currency likely experienced big gains if they were owners since early 2021. What if folks got in later in the year? Despite being all over the financial press and having inked all sorts of sponsorship deals—including the naming rights to what was once the Staples Center in Los Angeles—total crypto market cap today is pretty much unchanged from the peaks reached in May and September, and down somewhat from the Nov. 11 all-time high. Still, total crypto market cap is up 211% year-to-date. Some investors keep a close eye on the two stalwarts in crypto land: bitcoin and ether. Those coins rallied sharply before the stock market close on Thursday. Santa came early for so-called HODLers, those holding on for dear life to their cryptocurrencies. Tech stocks also rose on the final trading day before Christmas. CNBC’s Brian Kelly noted that bitcoin’s 30-day correlation with the Nasdaq Composite index is 47%—the highest since September. Kelly contends bitcoin might be more correlated with the stock market in the coming years as institutions accept it as a traditional asset. If that thesis plays out, owning cryptocurrencies might lose some of its luster going forward. After all, if virtual currencies will simply move with share prices, then the diversification benefit diminishes. Next year will be yet another fascinating one for cryptos, especially given that massive gains have been made, but recent performance has been lukewarm. Next year will also be a period of tightening credit conditions if the Federal Reserve has its way. On top of that, there will almost certainly be less fiscal stimulus sloshing around.…
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