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Beyond Bank Accounts

I OPENED MY FIRST bank account in the US at a local credit union (CU) close to my workplace. The CU had several convenient offers for employees of our company. With minimal effort, I opened checking and savings accounts, got free checkbooks and a credit card despite having no credit history in the US.

I was so pleased with the convenience that I handled all my banking needs through this CU for many years. That included direct deposit of my salary, payments and withdrawals, a car loan, and certificates of deposit (CDs) as my savings grew. I still maintain my checking account here and occasionally enjoy special favors as a longtime loyal customer.

Eventually, I realized that I earned very little interest from the bank deposits. I shopped around, found other banks with better rates, opened several accounts here and there, and moved my money around.

I felt good about being proactive and getting a better return on my cash reserve. But that feeling was short-lived as I started learning more about personal finance and investments. Tired of chasing yields in bank accounts, I eventually embraced US Treasurys (debt issued and backed by the US Government) as my alternative to savings accounts and CDs.

For those unfamiliar with US Treasurys, think of them as CDs with maturities ranging from four weeks to 30 years. They're widely used as a "safe investment" by individual, institutional and even sovereign investors around the world.

There are some key differences, though. Bank deposits are insured only up to $250,000. US Treasurys, on the other hand, are backed by the full faith and credit of the US Government. Therefore, there is virtually no default risk regardless of the investment amount.

Treasury interest rates, both short-term and long-term, are heavily influenced by monetary policy actions of the US Federal Reserve (Fed). Treasury interest rates directly affect many interest rates we encounter in everyday life: bank accounts, CDs, mortgage, car loans, personal and business loans, and so on.

Treasury interest rates are often higher than comparable bank products. Why? Because the intermediary financial institutions take their cut for operational costs and profits. Result? Suboptimal, or sometimes almost non-existent, interest on bank deposits.

But wait. What if I need my money back?

With bank deposits, I can walk in and withdraw cash from my account. If my money is locked in a CD, I may have to pay a penalty for early withdrawal, but I can still access it fairly quickly. What happens if I'm holding Treasurys? Do I need to wait until maturity?

That leads us to another important aspect of US Treasurys: their extremely high liquidity.

I can certainly buy newly issued Treasurys and wait until maturity, but I don't have to wait for these events. Investors around the world buy and sell Treasurys in the open market every day, making them one of the most liquid investments in existence.

Their liquidity, safety and meaningful return make Treasurys a compelling alternative for both short- and long-term cash reserves.

Sounds interesting? That's exactly how I felt after doing my own research. All I needed to figure out was the best way to invest in them.

Instead of buying Treasurys directly from the US Treasury, I use my brokerage accounts and buy and sell individual Treasurys or Treasury exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in the open market, just like stocks or funds. (I used to participate in Treasury auctions through the brokerage account to buy new issues and set my holdings to auto-roll upon maturity, but I eventually stopped doing that to keep things simple.)

For annual expenses and short-term cash needs, I like short-term, highly liquid, Treasury ETFs with a practically negligible expense ratio.

For money expected in three to four years, I favor short- and intermediate-term Treasury Inflation Protected Securities (TIPS) ETFs. TIPS have a lower interest rate compared to equivalent regular Treasurys, but their principal is adjusted with inflation, helping mitigate the risk of unexpected inflation.

For cash reserves further into the future, five years or more, my preference is a ladder of individual TIPS bonds, each maturing in a specific future year. Bond trading is slightly more involved than ETFs or stocks, so target-maturity TIPS ETFs can also be a reasonable alternative despite their slightly higher management fees.

Is there a catch compared to keeping money in conventional bank accounts?

I can't think of any, but there are two noticeable differences worth understanding.

First, unlike money sitting in bank accounts, Treasury investments fluctuate in value because they constantly change hands in open markets. For short-term Treasurys, the fluctuations are usually tiny. For intermediate- and long-term Treasurys, the swing can be more noticeable, especially when there's a major change in the interest rate expectation. Thankfully, these fluctuations are usually modest, and over time Treasurys often come out ahead compared to bank deposits.

The second difference deserves a bit more attention.

With a bank account, you can get hold of your money almost immediately. Treasury investments, however, may take a couple of business days to turn into spendable cash. You need to sell the ETF or bond during market hours. Once the transaction settles, usually the next business day, the proceeds can then be transferred out to the checking account for spending. In some cases, you may be able to carry on your spending activities directly from the brokerage account.

Over time, I shifted most of my liquid savings to Treasurys because of the improved result. Yet I still see many people leaving large cash balances in bank products or chasing yields from one bank to another.

I suspect the main reason is simple: lack of familiarity with US Treasurys.

  Sanjib Saha retired early from software engineering to dedicate more time to family and friends, pursue personal development and assist others as a money wellness mentor. Self-taught in investments, he passed the Series 65 licensing exam as a non-industry candidate. Sanjib is the president and cofounder of Dollar Mentor, a 501(c)(3) nonprofit organization offering free investment and financial education. Follow his nonprofit on LinkedIn, and check out Sanjib’s earlier articles.
Read more »

…..taxes and you

"I’d guess it’s all about perspective. My husband’s aunt lived in London ( his mother was one of 10 kids born in Ireland; a few stayed in Ireland, 3 came to the US, and the rest went to the UK. The aunt desperately needed a hip replacement— she was barely mobile but on a “wait list.” She eventually got the replacement — after the hip broke! I don’t see this as a real choice. If I couldn’t function for more than a year, I’d see the situation as inadequate access that paying more — either with a higher tax or private insurance."
- Marilyn Lavin
Read more »

The Market’s Unpredictability

EARLIER THIS SPRING, Emil Verner, an economist at MIT, made an observation: The stock market, he said, seemed to be exhibiting “excess tranquility.” Despite an ongoing war, inflation and other negative headlines, investors seemed surprisingly unfazed. The market was on track for its fourth year in a row of positive returns. Through May, it had gained 11%. But no sooner did Verner make this observation that the market did begin to wobble. Last Friday, the Nasdaq index dropped more than 4%, and several individual stocks sank more than 10%. How can we make sense of this—that, despite the headlines, the market was so resilient for so many months, but then reversed course so suddenly? Looking at this question can help us better understand the nature of the stock market and why its movements often seem so illogical. We can start by looking at the period prior to last Friday’s decline. Despite the ongoing war and resulting inflation, the market had risen steadily throughout April and May. Why? Three factors likely contributed. First, and probably most importantly: While the war with Iran caused gasoline prices to jump, the impact on the overall economy has been more muted than most people expected. Despite the negative impact on commodity prices and interest rates, corporate America has been doing well. Among companies that reported earnings in the first quarter of this year, 85% beat expectations. For reference, over the past 10 years, approximately 76% of companies typically beat estimates. So corporate earnings are growing, and they’re growing even faster than expected. Another factor that might have contributed to the market tranquility: More investors are participating in workplace retirement plans like 401(k)s. Because these plans make regular investments via payroll deductions, they serve as a sort of thumb on the scale, constantly buying, whether the market is up or it’s down. This has been a steady, multi-year trend. The third factor contributing to market tranquility: artificial intelligence. Yes, there are concerns about it, but so far, these seem mostly theoretical. Most notably, there’s been the worry that AI systems would replace jobs and cause widespread unemployment. Last year, Sam Altman, the chief executive of OpenAI, warned that “a lot of jobs will go away.” At least one company blamed AI in initiating a round of layoffs, reinforcing Altman’s warning. More recently, though, Altman has backtracked. In an interview in May, he acknowledged that he was “pretty wrong.” “I’m delighted to be wrong about this,” he said. “I thought there would have been more impact on entry-level white-collar jobs being eliminated by now than ​has actually happened.” The data seems in line with Altman’s updated view. A year or two ago, it was easier to dismiss the early versions of ChatGPT for their tendency to fabricate information, but sentiment has shifted. Instead of putting white-collar workers out of jobs, AI seems instead to be helping them be more productive. Lawyers use it to help with research, programmers use it to write code, marketers use it to create websites and finance people use it to build spreadsheets. The list goes on, and because of all that, I suspect, investors have a generally optimistic outlook on the economy. Many people view AI as being in the early innings, with far greater productivity gains in front of us. But then came last Friday, when the market began to sputter. Why the sudden shift? The proximate cause was a strong employment report released on Friday morning. The economy added 172,000 jobs in May, more than double what economists had expected. And the numbers for March and April were both revised upward. This was all good news. The problem for the stock market, though, is that investors tend to think a few steps ahead, and that can turn good news into bad news. The worry in this case is that a strong employment picture will result in inflationary pressures, because more workers will have more money to spend. Taken together with the already elevated inflation resulting from oil prices, the fear is that the Federal Reserve might be forced to raise interest rates this year, after dropping them several times last year. Reflecting this worry, interest rates rose last Friday to 16-month highs. And because stocks tend to fall when rates rise, stocks dropped. And thus, with just one press release, market sentiment soured. Benjamin Graham famously stated: “In the short run, the market is a voting machine, but in the long run, it is a weighing machine.” From day to day, in other words, stock prices tend to be driven by sentiment, stories and emotion. But over the longer term, logic generally prevails, and stock prices will more rationally reflect companies’ profit levels.  I agree with Graham’s description of the market. What I would add, though, is that the stock market is also like a pinball machine. It isn’t so much that investors are irrational. Instead, the reality is that there’s simply too much news out there for even the most reasonable person to process at any given time. So people respond to whatever happens to catch their attention or whatever they see as most important. That differs from individual to individual and can also change from day to day. The result is the seemingly erratic ups and downs that we’ve being seeing recently, and that we see so often. This is another reason why I think the best approach for investors is to never react too strongly to the day’s news and instead to take the long view. History has shown that this is when Graham’s weighing machine should ultimately carry the day. Adam M. Grossman is the founder of Mayport, a fixed-fee wealth management firm. Sign up for Adam's Daily Ideas email, follow him on X @AdamMGrossman and check out his earlier articles.
Read more »

Gold and Diamonds

"I think there is an important lesson here. You can invest in assets that generate cash flows, with businesses being an example. You can also invest in assets that don't generate cash flows, with commodities being an example. I wouldn't be surprised if 25 years ago, there were people who advocated owning diamonds as an investment. Human beings think of better ways to generate commodities. Admittedly, assets that generate cash flows are not without their problems. Companies that supplied horse and buggy transportation would be an example. But diversification can decrease that risk."
- Bruce Keith
Read more »

What Remains: Money and Me

"Thank you William for your thoughts. For me, it often comes back to one word as well: family. I was glad Jonathan placed it first on the stone. Family has a way of giving meaning to everything else: love, experiences, accomplishments, and even the memories we carry with us. In many ways, it is the foundation upon which the rest of life is built."
- Andrew Clements
Read more »

Defining Enough

"Thanks Mark, another great article. Enough said, the key word."
- William Dorner
Read more »

What’s in your portfolio ?

"We're 70% Equities split 62/38 US v International (VTSAX and VTIAX), 20% in VG Intermediate Treasury Fund, and 10% Cash (mostly TSP G Fund). 60% is tax deferred, 36% is Roth, 4% is taxable. Roths are 100% equities. Bonds, Cash and remaining Equities in tax deferred and taxable. Still doing Roth conversions in next few years, the extent of which is still being contemplated. Debating between nibbling around top of tax bracket vs "go big or go home"."
- Mark Ukleja
Read more »

Quiet Failure: Time for Me to Say What I Think

"Thanks for your article and thoughts Javier. My only comment is make sure you have a workable savings plan, because Retirement is not cheap, you have to work and save for it."
- William Dorner
Read more »

Just the facts about Social Security

"Exactly, I think this is way more fair than means testing."
- Lester Nail
Read more »

The Quiet Failure of Good Advice

"Just seeing this now, after reading you’re third article about this today. I’d like to share my brief thoughts on the second question you posed here, “why aren’t financial planners reaching those who need it most?” To me it’s pretty simple: lack of financial literacy among their clients; and incentives for planners are mis-aligned with the desired outcomes of their clients. This is particularly acute for retirees who are in the decumulation stage. AUM planners make their money by keeping asset levels high (and growing). This works great during the accumulation stage, as working people are focused on their jobs, careers and families. They don’t have the time or inclination to learn about personal financial management, so here a planner can help them at least put in place a plan that will lead to the right balance of saving while allowing enough spending to enjoy the journey. Retirees, though, pose a much more challenging problem. They’re faced with 30 years or more of decumulating their portfolios and navigating around the myriad pitfalls that could derail them along the way. As near as I can tell, planners as a group and planning as a profession are doing a lousy job of offering real help here. Of course there are exceptions, but in my opinion their profession is not set up to address this extraordinarily difficult challenge."
- tman9999
Read more »

Reflections on a Quiet Failure

"Hello Javier - just found your followup post to this one, wherein you succinctly summarize the key insight: financial planning, when done well, fades into the background right along with thoughts about spending money, with the focus shifting to living the life one has chosen. I love this. And I’d love to hear more about the tool you’re building. I went full DIY a couple years ago, using the Income Laboratory platform to do my own decumulation planning. It gives me 90+% of what I need to spend confidently and not worry about under- or over-spending during our anticipated 35-40-year retirement plan. Let me know if you’d like to connect - would love to learn more about what you’re working on - and possibly collaborate with you on it."
- tman9999
Read more »

What do we Americans want? We want “free” healthcare

""If you think health care is expensive now, wait until you see what it costs when it's free." --- P.J. O'Rourke, American political satirist and author"
- Howard Rohleder
Read more »

Beyond Bank Accounts

I OPENED MY FIRST bank account in the US at a local credit union (CU) close to my workplace. The CU had several convenient offers for employees of our company. With minimal effort, I opened checking and savings accounts, got free checkbooks and a credit card despite having no credit history in the US.

I was so pleased with the convenience that I handled all my banking needs through this CU for many years. That included direct deposit of my salary, payments and withdrawals, a car loan, and certificates of deposit (CDs) as my savings grew. I still maintain my checking account here and occasionally enjoy special favors as a longtime loyal customer.

Eventually, I realized that I earned very little interest from the bank deposits. I shopped around, found other banks with better rates, opened several accounts here and there, and moved my money around.

I felt good about being proactive and getting a better return on my cash reserve. But that feeling was short-lived as I started learning more about personal finance and investments. Tired of chasing yields in bank accounts, I eventually embraced US Treasurys (debt issued and backed by the US Government) as my alternative to savings accounts and CDs.

For those unfamiliar with US Treasurys, think of them as CDs with maturities ranging from four weeks to 30 years. They're widely used as a "safe investment" by individual, institutional and even sovereign investors around the world.

There are some key differences, though. Bank deposits are insured only up to $250,000. US Treasurys, on the other hand, are backed by the full faith and credit of the US Government. Therefore, there is virtually no default risk regardless of the investment amount.

Treasury interest rates, both short-term and long-term, are heavily influenced by monetary policy actions of the US Federal Reserve (Fed). Treasury interest rates directly affect many interest rates we encounter in everyday life: bank accounts, CDs, mortgage, car loans, personal and business loans, and so on.

Treasury interest rates are often higher than comparable bank products. Why? Because the intermediary financial institutions take their cut for operational costs and profits. Result? Suboptimal, or sometimes almost non-existent, interest on bank deposits.

But wait. What if I need my money back?

With bank deposits, I can walk in and withdraw cash from my account. If my money is locked in a CD, I may have to pay a penalty for early withdrawal, but I can still access it fairly quickly. What happens if I'm holding Treasurys? Do I need to wait until maturity?

That leads us to another important aspect of US Treasurys: their extremely high liquidity.

I can certainly buy newly issued Treasurys and wait until maturity, but I don't have to wait for these events. Investors around the world buy and sell Treasurys in the open market every day, making them one of the most liquid investments in existence.

Their liquidity, safety and meaningful return make Treasurys a compelling alternative for both short- and long-term cash reserves.

Sounds interesting? That's exactly how I felt after doing my own research. All I needed to figure out was the best way to invest in them.

Instead of buying Treasurys directly from the US Treasury, I use my brokerage accounts and buy and sell individual Treasurys or Treasury exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in the open market, just like stocks or funds. (I used to participate in Treasury auctions through the brokerage account to buy new issues and set my holdings to auto-roll upon maturity, but I eventually stopped doing that to keep things simple.)

For annual expenses and short-term cash needs, I like short-term, highly liquid, Treasury ETFs with a practically negligible expense ratio.

For money expected in three to four years, I favor short- and intermediate-term Treasury Inflation Protected Securities (TIPS) ETFs. TIPS have a lower interest rate compared to equivalent regular Treasurys, but their principal is adjusted with inflation, helping mitigate the risk of unexpected inflation.

For cash reserves further into the future, five years or more, my preference is a ladder of individual TIPS bonds, each maturing in a specific future year. Bond trading is slightly more involved than ETFs or stocks, so target-maturity TIPS ETFs can also be a reasonable alternative despite their slightly higher management fees.

Is there a catch compared to keeping money in conventional bank accounts?

I can't think of any, but there are two noticeable differences worth understanding.

First, unlike money sitting in bank accounts, Treasury investments fluctuate in value because they constantly change hands in open markets. For short-term Treasurys, the fluctuations are usually tiny. For intermediate- and long-term Treasurys, the swing can be more noticeable, especially when there's a major change in the interest rate expectation. Thankfully, these fluctuations are usually modest, and over time Treasurys often come out ahead compared to bank deposits.

The second difference deserves a bit more attention.

With a bank account, you can get hold of your money almost immediately. Treasury investments, however, may take a couple of business days to turn into spendable cash. You need to sell the ETF or bond during market hours. Once the transaction settles, usually the next business day, the proceeds can then be transferred out to the checking account for spending. In some cases, you may be able to carry on your spending activities directly from the brokerage account.

Over time, I shifted most of my liquid savings to Treasurys because of the improved result. Yet I still see many people leaving large cash balances in bank products or chasing yields from one bank to another.

I suspect the main reason is simple: lack of familiarity with US Treasurys.

  Sanjib Saha retired early from software engineering to dedicate more time to family and friends, pursue personal development and assist others as a money wellness mentor. Self-taught in investments, he passed the Series 65 licensing exam as a non-industry candidate. Sanjib is the president and cofounder of Dollar Mentor, a 501(c)(3) nonprofit organization offering free investment and financial education. Follow his nonprofit on LinkedIn, and check out Sanjib’s earlier articles.
Read more »

…..taxes and you

"I’d guess it’s all about perspective. My husband’s aunt lived in London ( his mother was one of 10 kids born in Ireland; a few stayed in Ireland, 3 came to the US, and the rest went to the UK. The aunt desperately needed a hip replacement— she was barely mobile but on a “wait list.” She eventually got the replacement — after the hip broke! I don’t see this as a real choice. If I couldn’t function for more than a year, I’d see the situation as inadequate access that paying more — either with a higher tax or private insurance."
- Marilyn Lavin
Read more »

The Market’s Unpredictability

EARLIER THIS SPRING, Emil Verner, an economist at MIT, made an observation: The stock market, he said, seemed to be exhibiting “excess tranquility.” Despite an ongoing war, inflation and other negative headlines, investors seemed surprisingly unfazed. The market was on track for its fourth year in a row of positive returns. Through May, it had gained 11%. But no sooner did Verner make this observation that the market did begin to wobble. Last Friday, the Nasdaq index dropped more than 4%, and several individual stocks sank more than 10%. How can we make sense of this—that, despite the headlines, the market was so resilient for so many months, but then reversed course so suddenly? Looking at this question can help us better understand the nature of the stock market and why its movements often seem so illogical. We can start by looking at the period prior to last Friday’s decline. Despite the ongoing war and resulting inflation, the market had risen steadily throughout April and May. Why? Three factors likely contributed. First, and probably most importantly: While the war with Iran caused gasoline prices to jump, the impact on the overall economy has been more muted than most people expected. Despite the negative impact on commodity prices and interest rates, corporate America has been doing well. Among companies that reported earnings in the first quarter of this year, 85% beat expectations. For reference, over the past 10 years, approximately 76% of companies typically beat estimates. So corporate earnings are growing, and they’re growing even faster than expected. Another factor that might have contributed to the market tranquility: More investors are participating in workplace retirement plans like 401(k)s. Because these plans make regular investments via payroll deductions, they serve as a sort of thumb on the scale, constantly buying, whether the market is up or it’s down. This has been a steady, multi-year trend. The third factor contributing to market tranquility: artificial intelligence. Yes, there are concerns about it, but so far, these seem mostly theoretical. Most notably, there’s been the worry that AI systems would replace jobs and cause widespread unemployment. Last year, Sam Altman, the chief executive of OpenAI, warned that “a lot of jobs will go away.” At least one company blamed AI in initiating a round of layoffs, reinforcing Altman’s warning. More recently, though, Altman has backtracked. In an interview in May, he acknowledged that he was “pretty wrong.” “I’m delighted to be wrong about this,” he said. “I thought there would have been more impact on entry-level white-collar jobs being eliminated by now than ​has actually happened.” The data seems in line with Altman’s updated view. A year or two ago, it was easier to dismiss the early versions of ChatGPT for their tendency to fabricate information, but sentiment has shifted. Instead of putting white-collar workers out of jobs, AI seems instead to be helping them be more productive. Lawyers use it to help with research, programmers use it to write code, marketers use it to create websites and finance people use it to build spreadsheets. The list goes on, and because of all that, I suspect, investors have a generally optimistic outlook on the economy. Many people view AI as being in the early innings, with far greater productivity gains in front of us. But then came last Friday, when the market began to sputter. Why the sudden shift? The proximate cause was a strong employment report released on Friday morning. The economy added 172,000 jobs in May, more than double what economists had expected. And the numbers for March and April were both revised upward. This was all good news. The problem for the stock market, though, is that investors tend to think a few steps ahead, and that can turn good news into bad news. The worry in this case is that a strong employment picture will result in inflationary pressures, because more workers will have more money to spend. Taken together with the already elevated inflation resulting from oil prices, the fear is that the Federal Reserve might be forced to raise interest rates this year, after dropping them several times last year. Reflecting this worry, interest rates rose last Friday to 16-month highs. And because stocks tend to fall when rates rise, stocks dropped. And thus, with just one press release, market sentiment soured. Benjamin Graham famously stated: “In the short run, the market is a voting machine, but in the long run, it is a weighing machine.” From day to day, in other words, stock prices tend to be driven by sentiment, stories and emotion. But over the longer term, logic generally prevails, and stock prices will more rationally reflect companies’ profit levels.  I agree with Graham’s description of the market. What I would add, though, is that the stock market is also like a pinball machine. It isn’t so much that investors are irrational. Instead, the reality is that there’s simply too much news out there for even the most reasonable person to process at any given time. So people respond to whatever happens to catch their attention or whatever they see as most important. That differs from individual to individual and can also change from day to day. The result is the seemingly erratic ups and downs that we’ve being seeing recently, and that we see so often. This is another reason why I think the best approach for investors is to never react too strongly to the day’s news and instead to take the long view. History has shown that this is when Graham’s weighing machine should ultimately carry the day. Adam M. Grossman is the founder of Mayport, a fixed-fee wealth management firm. Sign up for Adam's Daily Ideas email, follow him on X @AdamMGrossman and check out his earlier articles.
Read more »

Gold and Diamonds

"I think there is an important lesson here. You can invest in assets that generate cash flows, with businesses being an example. You can also invest in assets that don't generate cash flows, with commodities being an example. I wouldn't be surprised if 25 years ago, there were people who advocated owning diamonds as an investment. Human beings think of better ways to generate commodities. Admittedly, assets that generate cash flows are not without their problems. Companies that supplied horse and buggy transportation would be an example. But diversification can decrease that risk."
- Bruce Keith
Read more »

What Remains: Money and Me

"Thank you William for your thoughts. For me, it often comes back to one word as well: family. I was glad Jonathan placed it first on the stone. Family has a way of giving meaning to everything else: love, experiences, accomplishments, and even the memories we carry with us. In many ways, it is the foundation upon which the rest of life is built."
- Andrew Clements
Read more »

Defining Enough

"Thanks Mark, another great article. Enough said, the key word."
- William Dorner
Read more »

What’s in your portfolio ?

"We're 70% Equities split 62/38 US v International (VTSAX and VTIAX), 20% in VG Intermediate Treasury Fund, and 10% Cash (mostly TSP G Fund). 60% is tax deferred, 36% is Roth, 4% is taxable. Roths are 100% equities. Bonds, Cash and remaining Equities in tax deferred and taxable. Still doing Roth conversions in next few years, the extent of which is still being contemplated. Debating between nibbling around top of tax bracket vs "go big or go home"."
- Mark Ukleja
Read more »

Quiet Failure: Time for Me to Say What I Think

"Thanks for your article and thoughts Javier. My only comment is make sure you have a workable savings plan, because Retirement is not cheap, you have to work and save for it."
- William Dorner
Read more »

Just the facts about Social Security

"Exactly, I think this is way more fair than means testing."
- Lester Nail
Read more »

Free Newsletter

Get Educated

Manifesto

NO. 78: OUR THREE most precious resources are health, wealth and time. Handle all three with the care they deserve, and we’ll greatly improve the odds of a rich and meaningful life.

humans

NO. 4: A GRADUAL rise in our living standard brings great pleasure, while a reversal pains us deeply. The implication: We should manage our finances so our lifestyle improves over time. Suppose we save money by staying in motels today. If that means we can afford ritzier hotels down the road, today’s sacrifice could boost our long-term happiness.

act

ESTIMATE YOUR retirement income needs. Take your annual salary. Subtract how much you save each year and pay in Social Security payroll taxes. Also subtract your annual debt payments, including your mortgage—assuming these debts will be paid off by retirement. Result: You’ll know roughly how much you will need each year for a comfortable retirement.

Truths

NO. 84: IF YOUR portfolio earns 6% annually and you spend the entire 6% every year, you’ll face a financial reckoning. The spending power of the 6% will shrink with inflation, forcing you to either cut your standard of living or dip into principal to maintain it. The latter is dangerous, especially early in retirement, because you can quickly eviscerate your nest egg.

Safety net

Manifesto

NO. 78: OUR THREE most precious resources are health, wealth and time. Handle all three with the care they deserve, and we’ll greatly improve the odds of a rich and meaningful life.

Spotlight: Spending

Still a Wild Child: When Spending Habits Never Grow Up

My friend is an independent IT Systems Integrator. She essentially pitches for tenders from large corporations and government departments for help with new software integration. It’s a very well-paid job, but there can be lulls between contracts. This requires a good deal of business savvy to manage not only the workload and tendering process, but also her intermittent financial situation and the need for constant training to stay relevant.
A woman who has her life together you would think.

Read more »

A Record Journey

I went on a little shopping spree last week for some new tunes, ordering some records from a reputable online music store. Like a little kid who just ordered PlayStation 5 from Amazon, I’ve been anxiously tracking my order on the fine United States Post Office website.
I cannot make the following story up. 
On 8/11 I placed my order.
On 8/12 the retailer delivered my records to the USPS origin facility in Louisville KY. 
So far so good.

Read more »

Is the “Experience Economy” Derailing Millennial Retirement Prospects?

The phone call from my 29-year-old daughter in London recently sparked a familiar parental concern. She and her partner were jetting home  not for a family visit, but to catch a Coldplay concert. My mind immediately did the mental math: flights, tickets… easily $500 per person. And then it hit me: this is the third major concert they’ve attended this year, on top of a holiday to the Canary Islands and my other daughter is at this very moment camping her way around Turkey and Greece.

Read more »

Bah Humbug! It’s Not Even September Yet

I was in a large discount retailer yesterday with my grandson, picking up some school supplies for his return to school after the summer break. Bearing in mind it’s late August, around 20% of the store was roped off while staff were busy unboxing and displaying Christmas merchandise. Unbelievable!
I overheard a few people asking staff when the display would be open for business, and you could sense a general excitement within the store about this new buying opportunity.

Read more »

The Illusion of Wealth

I was sitting on the deck of my holiday home, enjoying the morning sunshine and breakfast, when a deep rumble announced the arrival of an expensive, sporty car. It was my neighbour. He’s a very nice man in his 40s who always dresses impeccably, with two well-turned-out kids and an immaculate wife – to all intents and purposes, a family living the dream.
Contrast that with me: I drive a seven-year-old SUV with 70,000 miles on the clock,

Read more »

Backstage at Antiques Roadshow

While I was in Savannah last week, PBS was filming an episode of Antiques Roadshow, a show I’ve always enjoyed. On a lark, my girlfriend Patricia and I walked over and took a backstage tour with a woman who worked for Georgia Public Broadcasting. This is what we saw:
Hundreds of people who had won free tickets in an online lottery lined up at the entrance to the Georgia Railroad Museum. Most carried small items in tote bags.

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Spotlight: Housley

Thanksgiving: The Keeping Story

And now… the rest of the story. Good day. It is a very good day. It was November, 1621. Ninety Wampanoag warriors and their chief, Massasoit, sat down with fifty-one Pilgrims for a three-day feast of deer, wild turkey, and corn the Indians had taught them to grow. The history books call it “The First Thanksgiving.” And it was… glorious. Laughter, gun salutes, archery contests, and tables groaning with food. What the paintings don’t show is that half the Pilgrims who had arrived the year before were already dead. Starvation had taken them. And the ones still alive? They were one bad harvest away from joining them. Why were they starving in a land overflowing with game and fish and fertile soil? Because of an idea. A very modern idea. Communal property. When the Pilgrims stepped off the Mayflower, their contract with the investors back in London required everything they produced (every bushel of corn, every fish, every board they sawed) to go into a common store. Each family got an equal share, no matter how much, or how little, they worked. Governor William Bradford wrote later that the system was “found to breed much confusion and discontent, and retard much employment.” The young men asked, “Why should I bust my back all day when the lazy guy next door gets the same ration?” The women said, “I’m not hauling water and hoeing corn so someone else’s kids can eat it.” Even the teenage boys refused to work. Bradford said the result was plain: “much hunger and nakedness.” So in the spring of 1623, after two winters of famine, Bradford did something radical. He broke the contract. He gave every family their own plot of land. Plant what you want. Keep what you grow. Trade the surplus if you wish.…
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THE REAL RETURN ON DELAYING SOCIAL SECURITY

EVERY FEW MONTHS, I come across yet another article claiming that delaying Social Security is like earning an 8% guaranteed return. It’s a comforting phrase—clean, simple, and easy to repeat. Unfortunately, it isn’t true. Yes, the Social Security Administration awards an 8% delayed retirement credit for each year you postpone benefits beyond full retirement age. But that 8% is simple interest, not compound. And no matter how attractive the credit looks on the surface, it ignores an uncomfortable fact: You’re giving up three full years of monthly checks to earn it. When we account for the actual cash flows—what we give up and what we get back—the real return looks very different. A REAL-WORLD EXAMPLE Take someone born in 1960 or later. Their full retirement age is 67. If they delay benefits to age 70, here’s what happens: They skip 36 monthly payments. They earn 24% more in monthly benefits for the rest of their life. Suppose the age-67 benefit is $1,000 a month. Delaying means turning down $36,000 over three years (36 × $1,000). At age 70, the monthly benefit jumps to $1,240—a $240 increase. So what’s the rate of return on the $36,000 “investment” needed to earn an extra $240 a month for life? This is where the math tells a much quieter story than the 8% billboard slogan. THE TRUE RATE OF RETURN Using a basic internal rate of return (IRR) calculation—treating the skipped payments as an upfront cost and the extra income as a lifetime annuity—the result comes out to: Approximately 5.3% to 5.5% per year, inflation-adjusted. That’s the conclusion reached by: The Social Security Administration (~5.3%) Mike Piper’s Open Social Security calculator (~5.25%) Research from Kitces, Wade Pfau, and Bogleheads contributors (5.0%–5.6%) My own spreadsheet calculation (5.48%) Why isn’t it 8%? Because: The 8% credit…
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Luck or Providence?

We sold our S&P 500 shares from one retirement account to roll them into another, perfectly timing the market peak. I’d love to boast it was our shrewd insight that nailed the sale, but honestly, it wasn’t. We were just moving money from our 401(k) to our Vanguard IRA. Picture a typical morning—coffee in hand, idly glancing over our account balances during our usual monthly check-in. No brilliance needed—just sheer luck. Some label it dumb luck, though it’s not about being foolish. It’s simply timing’s happy fluke. This isn’t the calculated dance of market timing, picking highs and lows with precision—that’s a different beast. Think of it as providence: an invisible guide turning our ordinary choice into a minor windfall. Now, we’re waiting for the 401(k) check to arrive. Once it does, we’ll deposit it into our Vanguard account. Will that same providential touch strike again, letting us buy at the market’s temporary low? Time will tell… Luck or providence? We’ll see.
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Does My Sister Need a Financial Advisor?

My sister called and asked if she should get a financial advisor. Her question made me pause, because I’ve wondered the same thing myself. How “right” do you have to be when you invest? How much better does an advisor need to be to make up for their fee? Is it more important to pick the right investments or to be tax-efficient? And if I’ve managed to stay the course through market storms, do I even need an advisor at all? So, I asked AI — and here’s what came back, along with what I learned as I compared its logic to real life. How Right Is Right Enough? AI: You don’t have to be perfect to succeed at investing — just disciplined. If you’ve stayed the course through market downturns and used broad-based index funds, you’ve already solved the hardest part. Markets reward patience more than cleverness. But be honest: when markets fell 20%, did you feel a strong urge to sell before things got worse? If you truly stayed the course, you may not need an advisor. But if you felt panic rising, that’s a sign you should probably find one before the next downturn. Me: My sister never looks at her investments, so she’s never tempted to sell. I look more often than I should, but I tend to buy on dips. Between the two of us, we’ve both stayed steady—one by ignoring the noise, the other by leaning into it. The point goes to self-directed investing for both of us. Sometimes doing nothing—or calmly doing the opposite of the crowd—is the best financial advice of all. The 1% Question AI: Most advisors charge around 1% of assets under management. Over 25 years, that fee can reduce your ending balance by about 20%. To earn that back,…
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Smarter Giving in Retirement and the Medicare Gotcha 

One of the biggest surprises in retirement is how the tax rules around charitable giving shift. During your working years, you might have claimed a deduction for every gift you made. But now, with the standard deduction so high—$32,300 for couples 65 and older in 2025—many retirees no longer itemize. That means the tax benefit from donations often disappears. Still, there are strategies that can help you get more impact—for yourself and for the causes you care about. Bunching Gifts Instead of giving the same amount every year, some retirees find it useful to “bunch” or double up their giving. Suppose you donate $15,000 a year. On its own, that won’t push you over the standard deduction. But if you give $30,000 in one year, you can itemize and capture a bigger tax benefit, then fall back on the standard deduction the next year. A popular way to do this is through a donor-advised fund. You contribute a lump sum in the year you want the deduction, then take your time sending money out to charities over the following years. Giving Directly from an IRA If you’re 70½ or older, another tool is the Qualified Charitable Distribution (QCD). This lets you transfer money straight from your IRA to a charity—up to $105,000 in 2025. If you’re already taking required minimum distributions, a QCD counts toward them. The key benefit: the transfer doesn’t show up as taxable income. That can keep you in a lower tax bracket, reduce the tax on your Social Security benefits, and even help avoid Medicare surcharges. For many retirees, once RMDs begin, QCDs become the most efficient way to give. Why Medicare Matters This is more than just income taxes. Higher reported income can raise what you pay for Medicare Part B and Part D through…
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It’s Never Too Late

On January 1, 2004, a friend of mine was 46 years old. His IRA balance stood at $3,055. He admitted he’d been late to the retirement game. “Beyond scared” might be more accurate. Reality had caught up with him. He felt behind and wasn’t sure it was even worth trying. It would have been easy to ignore the problem. To assume it was hopeless. Instead, he began contributing to his company’s IRA. He stayed invested. He let time and compounding do their quiet work. There was nothing flashy about it—just discipline and patience. Through the financial crisis of 2008–09, the COVID plunge and other market corrections along the way, he didn’t look and he didn’t stop. Every two weeks, money went into his account from his paycheck. Today, his account stands at $961,680. Why tell this story? Because you may know someone in their 30s or 40s who quietly believes they’ve already missed their chance. They feel behind. They feel embarrassed. So they do nothing. Over the years, I’ve come to think of change as a simple formula: Δ = 𝑓(Ds + V + Fs) Where Δ is change. Ds is dissatisfaction with the current situation. V is vision of what could be. Fs is the first steps. Most people already have the dissatisfaction. What they lack is a hopeful vision—and clarity about how to begin. Sometimes the most helpful words aren’t, “You should be saving more.” Instead, try: “Help me understand how you’re doing in preparing for retirement.” That question might open the door. You can then share a story like this—and perhaps help someone take that first step. It’s never too late to start.
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