Dreaming of a Jewish Christmas
Marjorie Kondrack | Dec 22, 2024
There aren’t many people left on my Christmas card list. it becomes shortened with each passing year, but for more than 50 years, we have received a card from someone I never met whose name is Ben Goldberg. My husband retired 17 years ago and Ben is a man he worked with. Ben is not a Christian, but he sends a lovely card— no personal message, just signs his full name and that’s it. Somehow as strange as it might seem, Ben’s greeting adds a special meaning to our Christmas. Meanwhile, I hope that some of you have watched the PBS special, I’m dreaming of a Jewish Christmas. -A documentary about Jewish songwriters and their connection to Christmas music, including Irving Berlin and Mel Tormé. I love how they rearranged a few traditional Christmas carols like Deck the Halls, in “Hora” Tempo…lively Jewish wedding dance music. Very clever. If you have an on-demand feature with your cable subscription, you may be able to pull it up or it will probably air again before Christmas. Mazel tov! and Merry Christmas.
Read more » A Balanced Retirement
Marjorie Kondrack | Jan 28, 2025
Among the many options we have in retirement such as travel, volunteer work, and spending more time with children and grandchildren; we also have a host of hobbies to consider. While too numerous to list, hobbies provide more than entertainment. They can elevate your mood, and improve memory and problem solving skills. You also get a brain boost and a sense of purpose and achievement when you undertake a new hobby. One of the best things about having a hobby is that if one becomes more of a bother than a pleasure, or if your interest gets stale, you can always choose another one. Make it enjoyable enough to keep pursuing—something that challenges you physically, mentally and, ideally, something that gives you the social interaction we all need. What hobbies have you found that are enjoyable and keep you actively engaged with your life?
Read more » A Living Tribute
Marjorie Kondrack | Feb 27, 2025
I have always thought that words matter. To this end, I have followed a few financial writers whom I have admired, and whose advice I trust. Each one has a singular quality: one was a brilliant market analyst, one had an uncommon knowledge of investing, and another a well known market strategist. All were trusted providers of market analysis to the world’s most well known institutional investors. I found one person who is the whole package. He is Jonathan Clements. Among his writing talents, Jonathan can untangle unnecessary words, pompous frills and unnecessary jargon. He has the ability to strip every sentence to its cleanest components. Not a word is wasted. Jonathan has the uncanny ability to distill complex thoughts and ideas and break them down in a clear, simple way. Clear thinking becomes clear writing. And In his creativity, he continues to find new ways to convey endless information. So many writers have a style I call herky-jerky. Their thoughts may be interesting and worthy of our attention—but there is a disconnect in their delivery. A hallmark of Jonathan’s writing is a quality I long to possess—his ability to smoothly connect his thoughts. In addition to his financial writing, Jonathan is capable of writing about human nature, with all of its foibles, and flaws, often connecting folks financial idiosyncrasies with their quirky characteristics. He manages to make sense of it all with his contemplative reflections. Some of the best gifts of words are ones we can share with the person we honor while they’re still alive. Thanks, Jonathan,—Clarity, simplicity and humanity are the hallmarks of your writing. Of Equal importance, your compassionate and humble nature. I hope you have many more years to share your talents with us, enjoy your family, and eat heaps of French fries.
Read more » Revising Retirement
Marjorie Kondrack | Dec 28, 2024
Many of us have an idyllic vision of what retirement will be like—endless days of relaxation and recreation. But the rules of retirement are being re-written. This will come as no surprise given the changes in our culture and nation’s economy during the past several years. It may also be a little unsettling to some, as there was some comfort in the knowledge that, after decades of working, you could retire and enjoy your remaining years in peace and tranquility. But there are reasons why baby boomers might not ride off into the sunset as previous generations have. Retirement can be boring. It may be great for a while, but many miss the challenges that came with employment. Besides, you can only play golf or tend to your garden for so long, and traveling can cost a lot of money. Then too, while expecting to fill too many days in the company of loved ones, it may become clear that they have their own routines and commitments. Funding Retirement. We hear often that many retirees haven’t planned properly for retirement—nor does the current state of the economy, during the past several years, bode well for being able to have enough money to do the things you want to do. According to a recent survey, more than 80% of retired or soon to be retired baby boomers plan to do some type of work, in some capacity, during their retirement The increasing cost of health care. This alone is reason enough for people to forestall retirement, especially now that pension plans are becoming a thing of the past. You may have to re-assess the manner in which you withdraw money from retirement funds, with the help of a financial planner. The Social Security conundrum. What will Social Security look like in…
Read more » It’s Better to Know
Marjorie Kondrack | Oct 26, 2024
If you sometimes misplace your keys or eyeglasses because you are distracted, it could be normal behavior. But if that starts happening a lot more frequently as you age, or with items that you never used to misplace, that may be a sign of MCI.—Mild Cognitive Impairment. In addition, if you are finding the tax forms more challenging, or having trouble organizing your bills, when you always accomplished those tasks easily, that too, can be a red flag. But, if you always put your glasses on the nightstand and lately you’ve been leaving them in the kitchen cupboard, or the refrigerator that is cause for concern. After death or illness of a loved one, research indicates that the two leading fears in retirement are: 1. Outliving savings and investments, and 2. Deteriorating Health leading to losing independence. The difference between MCI and dementia is subtle, although in some cases, MCI does not progress—or progresses slowly—to dementia. For about 1/3 of people, it happens within five years of their diagnosis, according to an analysis in Neuropsychology Review; although for others, the timeframe can vary widely. Each person’s trajectory is different. Approximately 12 to 18% of Americans age 60 or older have mild cognitive impairment., According to the Alzheimer’s association. Sometimes symptoms of MCI might be caused by over medication— a study involving people in their 60s, published in the International Journal of clinical pharmacy found significantly higher rates of cognitive impairment among those on five or more medications. Meanwhile, someone with MCI often will do well on a battery of thinking tests, but their short term memory will be impaired. That seems to be the classic story. While there is no cure, an early diagnosis of MCI means people can be treated sooner and new drugs may slow the disease, allowing…
Read more » Acting Our Age
Marjorie Kondrack | Apr 9, 2024
I CHUCKLE WHEN I read Lucille Ball’s gentle admonishment that “the secret to staying young is to live honestly, eat slowly, and lie about your age.” That’s not so easy anymore, ever since the internet outed us all. But I’m not above using a little subterfuge. After all, forced disclosure is never comfortable. When asked how old I am, my usual reply is “any woman who will tell her age will tell anything”—a remark sometimes attributed to Mary Kay Ash. Still, as my husband and I have advanced in age, additional economic and physical challenges have emerged. Last year was our annus horribilis—a Latin phrase most of us learned from Queen Elizabeth II. With our physical capabilities declining, we’ve needed to outsource more home maintenance, both inside and outside our home. My most recent capitulation was to surrender my fussbudget tendencies and hire a house cleaning service. I still engage in light housekeeping—important for my brain health and sanity. But deep cleaning became an impossible chore to manage. Bringing on help is expensive. It’s all been a huge concession for me—the original do-it-yourselfer. Regarding meals, it’s possible to prepare quick, simple, nutritious and delicious meals at home without resorting to fast food and frozen dinners. For instance, you can pack a lot into a simple omelet, and it’s ready in a flash. I like pizza, too, but the digestive system doesn’t. I keep convenience foods on hand for those days that are hectic. We’re lucky to live near a food market that prepares and emphasizes healthy prepared meals. In earlier years, we enjoyed having the extra time to shop around for the best deals. Don’t underestimate the everyday small savings that can come from comparison shopping. I used to plan our meals, perusing the weekly food market circulars for specials…
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How to Lose
William Ehart | Jan 26, 2021
MY OLD INVESTING self was like the guy in the meme who twists around to ogle a woman in a red dress, while his girlfriend looks ready to break his neck.
Just as jumping from one relationship to another introduces new risks, the same holds true for jumping in and out of different investments. For me—and for most people, I’d wager—investing in individual stocks and narrowly focused funds involves a certain amount of trading, and we know such trading is an exercise in futility. Even the vast majority of professional fund managers can’t consistently beat the market averages. If your reaction to that is, “Yeah, but maybe I can, I’ve got a good handle on the way the world works,” you may need professional help with your portfolio.
Despite ample evidence that most investors trail the market averages, we all tend to “feel lucky,” like the ill-fated villain staring down Clint Eastwood in Dirty Harry. Why? A key reason: Stock market averages get a big boost each year from a minority of stocks that post big gains, and those huge winners make beating the market look easy. So how about buying those big winners? Unfortunately, yesterday’s winners aren’t necessarily tomorrow’s top dogs.
In fact, past performance has no predictive power. It may seem obvious today that we should have bought Facebook, Apple, Netflix, Microsoft, Amazon, Tesla and Google’s parent company Alphabet. But these “obvious” winners only seem that way in hindsight.
On top of our unjustified confidence in our own stock-picking abilities, we have a host of other behavioral faults, including impatience, a desire for quick gratification and the feeling that the grass is always greener somewhere else. Result? In our efforts to beat the market, we flit back and forth among different investments, as our latest stock picks lose their luster.
After taking fliers over the years on gold and energy funds, biotech and telecom stocks, and emerging markets specialty funds that focus on consumer companies, I’ve learned three key lessons:
I came by these lessons the hard way. I would make a new investment and be excited, thinking I’d made a good bet. I’d anticipate my potential gains and the validation that I’d outsmarted the market. I would tell myself I understood the potential downside, but really, I was practically counting my winnings.
But the thrill would soon fade, along with my original investment rationale. Perhaps the idea had come from some legendary portfolio manager or from something I read. But when my new holdings struggled, I lacked a frame of reference by which to decide whether to sell or hold.
A star manager might have said a drug company’s clinical trials were going well or that certain companies were going to gain market share. But then these things didn’t happen, and the stocks underperformed. Was this bad news now fully priced in? It’s nobody’s job on Wall Street to answer that, least of all the managers who touted the investments in the first place, and they probably wouldn’t know anyway.
Another example: About six years ago, I read a series of articles that convinced me that the next big trend was emerging markets consumer spending growth. That prompted me to buy some high-cost niche exchange-traded funds. But the two funds I bought consistently underperformed. One has continued to do so since I sold, while the other folded last May. Again, no one can tell you when or if such performance will turn around. Wall Street gets paid to sell you high-expense funds and keep you in them. Those high fees pay for a lot of research, writing and marketing, which in turn filters its way into the financial press, which then encourages you to buy.
There are two sources of investment risk: systematic risk, which is the danger that the broad market will fall, and unsystematic risk, which is the danger that your particular investments will lag behind the market.
Investors in individual stocks and sector funds face both risks. By contrast, owners of broad stock market index funds face only systematic risk. Indexing lacks the allure of sexy strangers and the prospect of quick investment scores, but the strategy’s risks are also far lower.
Success in broad market-cap-weighted index funds hinges on fewer variables. You just need aggregate share prices—driven ultimately by corporate profit and dividend growth—to rise at well above the rate of inflation, as they have for more than a century in the global stock market, despite two world wars, hyperinflation, stagflation, market crashes, panics and depressions. In other words, with broad stock market index funds, you’re making just one bet—and it’s a pretty good one for globally diversified investors with long time horizons.
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